Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | SC Recife | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Castelao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Ceará SC and Fortaleza EC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceará SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Eros Mancuso has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 26' Matheus Bahia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 30' Eros Mancuso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
- 30' The whistle greets Fernando Sobral as he departs to be replaced by Dieguinho.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 37' Adam Bareiro makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Breno Lopes is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 38.
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' Ceará SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's shape.
- 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pedro Raul, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 7 goals in the last 6 games.
- 59' Poor challenge from Vina. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 60' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Moises is withdrawn and Lucas Crispim gets his opportunity.
- 62' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Vinicius Zanocelo departs to be replaced by Lucas Mugni.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Gaston Avila. He receives a card.
- 68' Matheus Pereira gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Breno Lopes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Brazil international Moises has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 78' Juan Lucero has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Bareiro on 78 minute.
- 81' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Antonio Galeano is replaced by Aylon on 81 minute.
- 86' Ceará SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
- 90' What a moment for Pedro Raul! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' Aylon is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 88
- 94
- 9
- 79
- 70
- 25
- 44
- 29
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 26
- 11
- 77
- 33
- 1
- 30
- 97
- 2
- 10
- 15
- 17
- 20
Coach
Leo Condé
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 88
- 33
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Juan Lucero 78'
- 3
- 26
-
96
Moises ↓ Lucas Crispim 60'
- 14
-
30
Pierre ↓ Pablo Barbosa 78'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 68'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 68'
- 20
- 18
- 23
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↑ 78'
- 2
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↑ 60'
- 5
-
70
Pablo Barbosa ↑ 78'
- 34
- 38
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius | 3 |
| Cleber | 2 |
| Rick | 1 |
| Tinga | 1 |
| Thiago Galhardo | 1 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 1 |
| Felippe Cardoso | 1 |
| Vinicius Lima | 1 |
Head to Head
Ceará SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.27
Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Ceará SC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
55%
Ceará SC or Fortaleza EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Ceará SC
| Handicap | Ceará SC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.