Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 19,548 HT 45' · FT 45'
Callum Robinson 62' 1–0
Anwar El Ghazi 64' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D
09 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
04 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC Derby County FC
#20 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 20th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC56% Draw30% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC31% Draw59% Derby County FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.8%
1 – 0
20.9%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
0 – 2
2.1%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 28% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
61%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.