Monday , 5 October 2026

CD Tondela vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
0 – 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio Joao Cardoso HT 45' · FT 45'
Tiago Manso 58' Y
Y 64' Chuchu
Makan Aiko 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CD Tondela vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Joao Cardoso.

Match Details

  • Referee Helder Malheiro

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr CD Nacional H 0–2 L
19 Apr FC Porto A 0–2 L
13 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
03 Apr Vitória SC A 0–5 L
21 Mar AVS H 0–0 D
09 Mar Rio Ave FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W
18 Apr FC Alverca H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Joao Cardoso will turn into a battlefield for CD Tondela and CD Nacional.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rony Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Joao Cardoso with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' Joao Silva has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 14' Pablo Ruan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Veron at the 14 minute mark.
  • 19' CD Tondela currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 22' Chuchu adds to his 0 season tally! CD Nacional lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' The Colombia Brayan Medina breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 1-1!
  • 36' CD Tondela are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Another substitution for CD Tondela to replace Rodrigo Conceicao by Tiago Manso on 38 minute.
  • 43' Brazil international Gabriel Veron has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CD Tondela needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago Manso.
  • 61' Makan Aiko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hugo Felix at the 61 minute mark.
  • 64' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 64.
  • 69' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 74' A quiet spell here at Estadio Joao Cardoso. CD Tondela seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka gets the nod from CD Tondela. He replaces Joe Hodge and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Andre Sousa comes on to replace Daniel Jr..
  • 83' CD Tondela are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' It’s a booking for CD Tondela player. Makan Aiko gets a card.
  • 90' Joel Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Filipe Soares at the 90 minute mark.
  • CD Nacional celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.08 CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Tondela29% Draw29% CD Nacional42%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CD Tondela or Draw
58%
Draw or CD Nacional
71%
CD Tondela or CD Nacional
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Tondela21% Draw50% CD Nacional29%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — CD Tondela

Handicap CD Tondela covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.