Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Dec 2023 · 12:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Cole Palmer
0–2 37' Noni Madueke
0–3 70' Cole Palmer
Ross Barkley 80' 1–3
Elijah Adebayo 87' 2–3
Jacob Brown 27' Y
Teden Mengi 78' Y
Y 90' Malo Gusto

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Chelsea FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Harry Lennard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L
05 Dec Arsenal FC H 3–4 L
02 Dec Brentford FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
27 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
24 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
16 Dec Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
10 Dec Everton FC A 0–2 L
06 Dec Manchester United FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Chelsea FC gets underway.
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Noni Madueke suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' Cole Palmer puts Chelsea FC on the lead.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Jacob Brown gets a Yellow card.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' GOAL! Noni Madueke scores on 37.
  • 42' Alfie Doughty needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Jacob Brown by Chiedozie Ogbene on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' Time for substitution for Chelsea FC. Armando Broja is replaced by Christopher Nkunku.
  • 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Albert Sambi Lokonga made 390 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Goal! Cole Palmer scores his 44 goal in 436 matches.
  • 75' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' Teden Mengi was booked on 78.
  • 80' What a strike from Ross Barkley! The score is 1-3.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Fernandez. He replaces Noni Madueke on 81 minute.
  • 86' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' What a strike from Elijah Adebayo! The score is 2-3.
  • 90' Another change for Chelsea FC made on 90 minute. Cole Palmer leaves to be changed by Alfie Gilchrist.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Malo Gusto. He receives a Yellow card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Chelsea FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Chelsea FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC31% Draw26% Chelsea FC43%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Chelsea FC
69%
Luton Town FC or Chelsea FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC25% Draw43% Chelsea FC32%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.