Thursday , 20 August 2026

Burgos CF vs Malaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Burgos CF
2 – 1
Full Time
Malaga CF
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burgos CF vs Malaga CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruña 42 77
3 Malaga CF 42 73
4 CD Mirandés 42 40
5 SD Huesca 42 38
6 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
7 Real Zaragoza 42 36
8 Andorra CF 1 3
9 UD Almeria 1 3
10 CD Tenerife 1 3
11 RCD Mallorca 1 3
12 Burgos CF 1 3
13 UD Las Palmas 1 3
14 CD Castellón 1 3
15 CD Leganes 1 1
16 Girona FC 1 1
17 Real Sporting de Gijon 1 1
18 Granada CF 1 1
19 Cadiz CF 1 1
20 Real Oviedo 1 1
21 Celta Vigo B 1 1
22 CE Sabadell FC 1 1
23 Cordoba CF 1 0
24 Albacete Balompie 1 0
25 Real Sociedad B 1 0
26 SD Eibar 1 0
27 Real Valladolid CF 1 0
28 CD Eldense 1 0
29 AD Ceuta FC 1 0

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Burgos CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Malaga CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-28 Burgos CF 2–1 Malaga CF 2025-05-31 Malaga CF 2–2 Burgos CF 2024-12-15 Burgos CF 0–0 Malaga CF

Recent Form

Burgos CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Malaga CF H 2–1 W
22 Sep Granada CF H 1–1 D
14 Sep Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–2 W
07 Sep UD Las Palmas H 0–0 D
31 Aug Andorra CF A 1–2 L
24 Aug RC Deportivo La Coruña A 0–0 D
Malaga CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Burgos CF A 1–2 L
21 Sep Cadiz CF H 0–1 L
13 Sep SD Huesca A 0–1 L
06 Sep Granada CF H 2–2 D
31 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
24 Aug Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burgos CF Malaga CF
#12 Position #3
3 Points 73
1 Played 42
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
3 Scored 75
2 Conceded 52
+1 GD +23
3.00 PPG 1.74
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season

Burgos CF are 12th (3 pts). Malaga CF are 3rd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burgos CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Burgos CF host Malaga CF — let the battle begin!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Burgos CF take all three points.

Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

Malaga CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 Burgos CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Malaga CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF52% Draw22% Malaga CF26%
Actual: Burgos CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Burgos CF or Draw
73%
Draw or Malaga CF
48%
Burgos CF or Malaga CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burgos CF38% Draw38% Malaga CF24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Burgos CF

Handicap Burgos CF covers Push Malaga CF covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 19% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.