Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nathaniel Atkinson 61' Y

Aziz Behich 90' Y

Patrick Beach 90' Y

Y 90' Jay O'Shea

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne City FC 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Brisbane Roar FC 3 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Casey Reibelt
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 21 games · Avg 3.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-03-12 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	Western United FC	H	2–0	W
03 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
21 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
15 Dec	Auckland FC	H	2–2	D

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
29 Dec	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
14 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#4	Position	#3
7	Points	7
4	Played	3
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 0
6	Scored	5
6	Conceded	3
+0	GD	+2
1.75	PPG	2.33
50%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 4th (7 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 3rd (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

Andrew Nabbout	2 G
Emiliano Marcondes	1 G	2 A
Matheus Rossetto	1 G
Awer Mabil	1 G
Quinn MacNicol	1 G

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	2 G
Tom Aldred	1 G
Tae-Hee Nam	1 G
Sabit James	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC.
5' Harry Politidis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne City FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' Lucas Herrington, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' Melbourne City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
40' Melbourne City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
45' Brisbane Roar FC is showing some good football. However, Brisbane Roar FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
46' Melbourne City FC make a change. Kavian Rahmani trudges off to be replaced by Zane Schreiber on 46 minutes.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keegan Jelacic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brisbane Roar FC.
56' It’s high time Aurelio Vidmar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
61' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Atkinson is booked for Melbourne City FC — card on 61.
65' Goal! Benjamin Mazzeo scores his 4 goal in 212 matches.
70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
72' The supporters are chanting for Louis Zabala. He replaces Florin Berenguer on 72 minute.
73' The supporters are chanting for Scott Neville. He replaces Lucas Herrington on 73 minute.
76' Melbourne City FC ring the changes. Medin Memeti has done his job and it is now time for Emin Durakovic to step up.
77' Michael Ghossaini is replacing Harry Politidis for the Melbourne City FC side.
80' Quinn MacNicol is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jacob Brazete at the 80 minute mark.
81' The supporters are chanting for Benjamin Dunbar. He replaces Benjamin Mazzeo on 81 minute.
83' Samuel Souprayen gets the nod from Melbourne City FC. He replaces German Ferreyra and will look to change the dynamic.
88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
90' Melbourne City FC player sees a card in front of him.
Brisbane Roar FC will have plenty to reflect on. Melbourne City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aziz Behich
6
Steven Ugarkovic
13
Nathaniel Atkinson
27
Kai Trewin
2
Callum Talbot
33
Patrick Beach
38
Harry Politidis ↓ Michael Ghossaini 77'
35
Medin Memeti ↓ Emin Durakovic 76'
46
Benjamin Mazzeo ↓ Benjamin Dunbar 81'
22
German Ferreyra ↓ Samuel Souprayen 83'
47
Kavian Rahmani ↓ Zane Schreiber 46'

Bench

1
Jamie Young
26
Samuel Souprayen ↑ 83'
36
Harrison Shillington
39
Emin Durakovic ↑ 76'
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 46'
50
Michael Ghossaini ↑ 77'
42
Benjamin Dunbar ↑ 81'

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Scott Neville ↑ 73'
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 72'
7
Rafael Struick
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 46'
29
Matthew Acton
30
Quinn MacNicol ↑ 80'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	9
James O'Shea	4
Roy O'Donovan	3
Connor Metcalfe	3
Jay O'Shea	2
Thomas Waddingham	2
Yonatan Cohen	2
Leo Natel	2

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC W 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-15 Melbourne City FC 2–2 Auckland FC D

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-01-07 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC53% Draw24% Brisbane Roar FC23%

Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

47%

Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC34% Draw44% Brisbane Roar FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.9%

2 – 1

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.