Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nathaniel Atkinson 61' Y

Aziz Behich 90' Y

Patrick Beach 90' Y

Y 90' Jay O'Shea

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Casey Reibelt
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

15 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 21 games · Avg 3.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-03-12 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	Western United FC	H	2–0	W
03 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
21 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
15 Dec	Auckland FC	H	2–2	D

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
29 Dec	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
14 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#6	Position	#11
38	Points	26
26	Played	26
10 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
33	Scored	27
33	Conceded	36
+0	GD	-9
1.46	PPG	1.00
38%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

Max Caputo	8 G	1 A
Marcus Younis	7 G	3 A
Medin Memeti	5 G	1 A

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at AAMI Park!
5' Macklin Freke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Brisbane Roar FC so far.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. Brisbane Roar FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Melbourne City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brisbane Roar FC backline.
25' Melbourne City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
30' Melbourne City FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Marcus Younis scoring 2 goals.
35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne City FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
40' Melbourne City FC have won 386 goals from 208 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
46' Zane Schreiber has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kavian Rahmani on 46 minute.
51' Brisbane Roar FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
56' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne City FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
61' Melbourne City FC player sees a card in front of him.
65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Benjamin Mazzeo makes it 1-0.
70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
72' Florin Berenguer makes way for Louis Zabala at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brisbane Roar FC.
73' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Lucas Herrington is replaced by Scott Neville.
76' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Medin Memeti is replaced by Emin Durakovic.
77' The supporters are chanting for Michael Ghossaini. He replaces Harry Politidis on 77 minute.
80' A change in the Brisbane Roar FC ranks — Jacob Brazete exits the field as Quinn MacNicol enters on 80.
81' Benjamin Dunbar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benjamin Mazzeo at the 81 minute mark.
83' Another change for Melbourne City FC made on 83 minute. German Ferreyra leaves to be changed by Samuel Souprayen.
88' Keegan Jelacic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
90' Poor challenge from Aziz Behich. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
Brisbane Roar FC will have plenty to reflect on. Melbourne City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aziz Behich
6
Steven Ugarkovic
13
Nathaniel Atkinson
27
Kai Trewin
2
Callum Talbot
33
Patrick Beach
38
Harry Politidis ↓ Michael Ghossaini 77'
35
Medin Memeti ↓ Emin Durakovic 76'
46
Benjamin Mazzeo ↓ Benjamin Dunbar 81'
22
German Ferreyra ↓ Samuel Souprayen 83'
47
Kavian Rahmani ↓ Zane Schreiber 46'

Bench

1
Jamie Young
26
Samuel Souprayen ↑ 83'
36
Harrison Shillington
39
Emin Durakovic ↑ 76'
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 46'
50
Michael Ghossaini ↑ 77'
42
Benjamin Dunbar ↑ 81'

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Scott Neville ↑ 73'
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 72'
7
Rafael Struick
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 46'
29
Matthew Acton
30
Quinn MacNicol ↑ 80'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	9
James O'Shea	4
Roy O'Donovan	3
Connor Metcalfe	3
Jay O'Shea	2
Thomas Waddingham	2
Yonatan Cohen	2
Leo Natel	2

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC W 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-15 Melbourne City FC 2–2 Auckland FC D

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-01-07 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.81 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne City FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC61% Draw23% Brisbane Roar FC16%

Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

39%

Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC41% Draw45% Brisbane Roar FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10.9%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 0

2.9%

4 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.