Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nathaniel Atkinson 61' Y

Aziz Behich 90' Y

Patrick Beach 90' Y

Y 90' Jay O'Shea

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Casey Reibelt
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 21 games · Avg 3.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-03-12 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	Western United FC	H	2–0	W
03 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
21 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
15 Dec	Auckland FC	H	2–2	D

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
29 Dec	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
14 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#6	Position	#11
38	Points	26
26	Played	26
10 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
33	Scored	27
33	Conceded	36
+0	GD	-9
1.46	PPG	1.00
38%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC is underway.
5' Brisbane Roar FC have won 245 goals from 205 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' It looks surprising Melbourne City FC does not make any changes. Kai Trewin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
25' Brisbane Roar FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
45' Patrick Beach has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' The whistle greets Kavian Rahmani as he departs to be replaced by Zane Schreiber.
51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
56' Adam Zimarino has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
61' Poor challenge from Nathaniel Atkinson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
65' Benjamin Mazzeo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
70' It’s high time Aurelio Vidmar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
72' A change in the Brisbane Roar FC ranks — Florin Berenguer exits the field as Louis Zabala enters on 72.
73' Fresh legs for Brisbane Roar FC! Scott Neville comes on to replace Lucas Herrington.
76' The Melbourne City FC bench stirs into life. Medin Memeti is withdrawn and Emin Durakovic gets his opportunity.
77' The crowd applauds Harry Politidis as he leaves the pitch. Michael Ghossaini steps in for Melbourne City FC.
80' Jacob Brazete makes way for Quinn MacNicol at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brisbane Roar FC.
81' Melbourne City FC make a change. Benjamin Mazzeo trudges off to be replaced by Benjamin Dunbar on 81 minutes.
83' A tactical swap from Melbourne City FC — Samuel Souprayen on, German Ferreyra off on 83 minutes.
88' The 25-year-old Louis Zabala has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Aziz Behich is booked for Melbourne City FC — card on 90.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aziz Behich
6
Steven Ugarkovic
13
Nathaniel Atkinson
27
Kai Trewin
2
Callum Talbot
33
Patrick Beach
38
Harry Politidis ↓ Michael Ghossaini 77'
35
Medin Memeti ↓ Emin Durakovic 76'
46
Benjamin Mazzeo ↓ Benjamin Dunbar 81'
22
German Ferreyra ↓ Samuel Souprayen 83'
47
Kavian Rahmani ↓ Zane Schreiber 46'

Bench

1
Jamie Young
26
Samuel Souprayen ↑ 83'
36
Harrison Shillington
39
Emin Durakovic ↑ 76'
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 46'
50
Michael Ghossaini ↑ 77'
42
Benjamin Dunbar ↑ 81'

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Scott Neville ↑ 73'
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 72'
7
Rafael Struick
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 46'
29
Matthew Acton
30
Quinn MacNicol ↑ 80'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	9
James O'Shea	4
Roy O'Donovan	3
Connor Metcalfe	3
Thomas Waddingham	2
Yonatan Cohen	2
Leo Natel	2
Curtis Good	2

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC W 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-15 Melbourne City FC 2–2 Auckland FC D

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-01-07 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.81 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne City FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC61% Draw23% Brisbane Roar FC16%

Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

39%

Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC41% Draw45% Brisbane Roar FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10.9%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 0

2.9%

4 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.