Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nathaniel Atkinson 61' Y

Aziz Behich 90' Y

Patrick Beach 90' Y

Y 90' Jay O'Shea

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Casey Reibelt
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

15 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 21 games · Avg 3.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-03-12 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	Western United FC	H	2–0	W
03 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
21 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
15 Dec	Auckland FC	H	2–2	D

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
29 Dec	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
14 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#6	Position	#11
38	Points	26
26	Played	26
10 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
33	Scored	27
33	Conceded	36
+0	GD	-9
1.46	PPG	1.00
38%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

Max Caputo	8 G	1 A
Marcus Younis	7 G	3 A
Medin Memeti	5 G	1 A

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Zadkovich will be considering his options from the bench.
15' It looks surprising Brisbane Roar FC does not make any changes. Adam Zimarino has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' Melbourne City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brisbane Roar FC's shape.
25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne City FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
40' Steven Ugarkovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' It is a substitution in Melbourne City FC team. Kavian Rahmani is replaced by Zane Schreiber on 46 minute.
51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
61' Melbourne City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
65' Benjamin Mazzeo puts Melbourne City FC on the lead.
70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
72' It is a substitution in Brisbane Roar FC team. Florin Berenguer is replaced by Louis Zabala on 72 minute.
73' A change in the Brisbane Roar FC ranks — Lucas Herrington exits the field as Scott Neville enters on 73.
76' The crowd applauds Medin Memeti as he leaves the pitch. Emin Durakovic steps in for Melbourne City FC.
77' Another substitution for Melbourne City FC to replace Harry Politidis by Michael Ghossaini on 77 minute.
80' It is a substitution in Brisbane Roar FC team. Jacob Brazete is replaced by Quinn MacNicol on 80 minute.
81' Fresh legs for Melbourne City FC! Benjamin Dunbar comes on to replace Benjamin Mazzeo.
83' The whistle greets German Ferreyra as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Souprayen.
88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ruben Zadkovich might look to freshen things up shortly.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Aziz Behich.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aziz Behich
6
Steven Ugarkovic
13
Nathaniel Atkinson
27
Kai Trewin
2
Callum Talbot
33
Patrick Beach
38
Harry Politidis ↓ Michael Ghossaini 77'
35
Medin Memeti ↓ Emin Durakovic 76'
46
Benjamin Mazzeo ↓ Benjamin Dunbar 81'
22
German Ferreyra ↓ Samuel Souprayen 83'
47
Kavian Rahmani ↓ Zane Schreiber 46'

Bench

1
Jamie Young
26
Samuel Souprayen ↑ 83'
36
Harrison Shillington
39
Emin Durakovic ↑ 76'
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 46'
50
Michael Ghossaini ↑ 77'
42
Benjamin Dunbar ↑ 81'

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Scott Neville ↑ 73'
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 72'
7
Rafael Struick
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 46'
29
Matthew Acton
30
Quinn MacNicol ↑ 80'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	9
James O'Shea	4
Roy O'Donovan	3
Connor Metcalfe	3
Aiden O'Neill	2
Keegan Jelacic	2
Kai Trewin	2
Marcus Younis	2

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC W 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-15 Melbourne City FC 2–2 Auckland FC D

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-01-07 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.81 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne City FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC61% Draw23% Brisbane Roar FC16%

Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

39%

Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC41% Draw45% Brisbane Roar FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10.9%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 0

2.9%

4 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.