Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
Hamburger SV 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
02 Nov 1. FC Köln A 1–4 L
28 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
25 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
05 Nov Manchester City FC A 1–4 L
31 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
28 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 5–3 W
25 Oct 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
21 Oct FC København A 4–2 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund
#16 Position #1
3 Points 12
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 9
13 Conceded 2
-11 GD +7
0.75 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.81 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Borussia Dortmund to win 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV18% Draw21% Borussia Dortmund61%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
39%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
82%
Hamburger SV or Borussia Dortmund
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV10% Draw37% Borussia Dortmund53%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.4%
0 – 3
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 4
5.7%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
3%
0 – 5
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 7% 91%
-0.5 9% — 91%
+0.5 27% — 73%
+1 27% 22% 51%
+1.5 49% — 51%
+2 49% 21% 30%
+2.5 70% — 30%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.