Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonas Wind 12' 1–0
1–1 28' Robin Gosens
Joakim Maehle 30' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W
27 May Hertha BSC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
03 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
26 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–1 W
20 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Aug FC Astoria Walldorf A 4–0 W
27 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against 1. FC Union Berlin. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The travelling 1. FC Union Berlin supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' GOAL! Jonas Wind scores on 12.
  • 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Union Berlin that had 438 games and scored 370 goals.
  • 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' Robin Gosens adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FC Union Berlin lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 30' The deadlock is broken! Joakim Maehle gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 50' Alex Kral needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Moritz Jenz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. David Fofana is replaced by Sheraldo Becker.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Koen Casteels, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' Lovro Majer makes way for Tiago Tomas at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 73' 1. FC Union Berlin make a change. Janik Haberer trudges off to be replaced by Brenden Aaronson on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Mattias Svanberg picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' Amin Sarr is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonas Wind at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' The 1. FC Union Berlin bench stirs into life. Robin Knoche is withdrawn and Mikkel Kaufmann gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 90 minute. Maxence Lacroix leaves to be changed by Sebastiaan Bornauw.
  • 2-1 the final result. 1. FC Union Berlin will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FC Union Berlin 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg40% Draw27% 1. FC Union Berlin33%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
60%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FC Union Berlin
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin27%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.