VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 14' Sehrou Guirassy

Joakim Maehle 50' 1–1

1–2 54' Sehrou Guirassy pen

1–3 77' Jamie Leweling

Lukas Nmecha 83' 2–3

Maximilian Arnold 3' Y

Ridle Baku 22' Y

Joakim Maehle 52' Y

Y 58' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Christian Leicher

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 22 games · Avg 2.9 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-02 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-10-07 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-03-18 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 VfB Stuttgart 2022-04-30 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	2–2	D
17 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
10 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–1	L
04 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
27 Jan	1. FC Köln	H	1–1	D

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–2	W
24 Feb	1. FC Köln	H	1–1	D
17 Feb	SV Darmstadt 98	A	2–1	W
11 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–1	W
06 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	2–3	L
03 Feb	SC Freiburg	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		VfB Stuttgart
#1	Position	#10
29	Points	0
34	Played	0
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
45	Scored	0
69	Conceded	0
-24	GD	+0
0.85	PPG	–
21%	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfL Wolfsburg to score. At the same time, VfB Stuttgart does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' Maximilian Arnold picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
8' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
13' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sehrou Guirassy makes it 0-1.
19' VfB Stuttgart fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
22' Poor challenge from Ridle Baku. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
32' VfB Stuttgart come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
37' Silas Katompa Mvumpa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
42' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfB Stuttgart's compact 3-4-2-1.
46' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Tiago Tomas comes on to replace Vaclav Cerny.
50' GOAL! Joakim Maehle scores on 50. Assisted by Lovro Majer
52' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Joakim Maehle gets a card.
54' Sehrou Guirassy adds to his 4 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
58' That is a card for VfB Stuttgart. Waldemar Anton will be fuming at that decision.
63' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
64' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Kevin Behrens is replaced by Amin Sarr on 64 minute.
65' Jonas Wind has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lovro Majer on 65 minute.
70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
71' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Chris Fuhrich is replaced by Jamie Leweling on 71 minute.
76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and VfB Stuttgart are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
77' Jamie Leweling doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
81' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Kevin Paredes exits the field as Lukas Nmecha enters on 81.
83' Against the run of play, Lukas Nmecha has scored! This game has turned on its head.
86' The whistle greets Sehrou Guirassy as he departs to be replaced by Jeong Wooyeong.
90' The crowd applauds Angelo Stiller as he leaves the pitch. Mahmoud Dahoud steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats VfL Wolfsburg

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 81'
12
Pavao Pervan
23
Jonas Wind ↑ 65'
6
Aster Vranckx ↑ 81'
9
Amin Sarr ↑ 64'
5
Cedric Zesiger
16
Jakub Kaminski
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 46'
2
Kilian Fischer

Coach Niko Kovać

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
4
Josha Vagnoman
2
Waldemar Anton
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↓ Silas Katompa Mvumpa 86'
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jamie Leweling 71'
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↓ Jeong Wooyeong 86'
21
Hiroki Ito
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Deniz Undav 71'
29
Anthony Rouault
6
Angelo Stiller ↓ Mahmoud Dahoud 90'

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	6
Yannick Gerhardt	3
Gonzalo Castro	2
Omar Marmoush	2
Konstantinos Mavropanos	2
Mohammed Amoura	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Tiago Tomas	1

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-03-02 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-02-25 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2024-02-17 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2024-02-10 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-01-27 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Köln D

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-03-02 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-02-24 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2024-02-17 SV Darmstadt 98 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-02-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-02-03 SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.85 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg29% Draw33% VfB Stuttgart38%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 1.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	58%	42%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

62%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

71%

VfL Wolfsburg or VfB Stuttgart

67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg19% Draw56% VfB Stuttgart25%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

17.1%

0 – 1

14.3%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

11%

0 – 2

1 – 2

2 – 1

5.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

3.1%

0 – 3

2.8%

1 – 3

2.6%

3 – 1

1.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	18%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	23%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	11%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.