Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 4' 1–0
Jonas Hofmann 8' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Max Geschwill
2–2 69' Jann-Fiete Arp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein KielBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
22 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 4–3 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–0 W
14 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel get this one started.
  • 4' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Victor Boniface on 4.
  • 8' A stunning finish from Jonas Hofmann — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 13' Marko Ivezic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 277 appearances.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bayer 04 Leverkusen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
  • 38' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 50' The Germany Max Geschwill breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-1!
  • 55' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 60.
  • 60' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Jonas Hofmann departs to be replaced by Martin Terrier.
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 68' Jeremie Frimpong was booked on 68.
  • 69' Goal! Jann-Fiete Arp scores his 9 goal in 268 matches.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Victor Boniface is replaced by Patrik Schick.
  • 71' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Armin Gigovic by Marvin Schulz on 71 minute.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Xabi Alonso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 77' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Jeremie Frimpong by Amine Adli on 77 minute.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Marco Komenda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 86 minute.
  • 90' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen47% Draw24% Holstein Kiel29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
71%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen32% Draw42% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.