Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 4' 1–0
Jonas Hofmann 8' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Max Geschwill
2–2 69' Jann-Fiete Arp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
22 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 4–3 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–0 W
14 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen47% Draw24% Holstein Kiel29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
71%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen32% Draw42% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.