Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 4' 1–0
Jonas Hofmann 8' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Max Geschwill
2–2 69' Jann-Fiete Arp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 25.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 1–1 D
22 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 4–3 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–0 W
14 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern Munchen H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 8 G 2 A
Ibrahim Maza 3 G 3 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kicked off against Holstein Kiel. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 4' Victor Boniface has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
  • 8' Jonas Hofmann is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Patrick Erras made 305 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' Steven Skrzybski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Jann-Fiete Arp is replacing Shuto Machino for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 50' Max Geschwill does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
  • 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Bayer 04 Leverkusen in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact 3-5-2.
  • 60' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Magnus Knudsen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 60 minute. Jonas Hofmann leaves to be changed by Martin Terrier.
  • 65' The 34-year-old Granit Xhaka has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
  • 69' GOAL! Jann-Fiete Arp fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 70' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Victor Boniface is replaced by Patrik Schick on 70 minute.
  • 71' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Armin Gigovic departs to be replaced by Marvin Schulz.
  • 76' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Jeremie Frimpong has done his job and it is now time for Amine Adli to step up.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Marco Komenda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Timon Weiner on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen47% Draw24% Holstein Kiel29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
71%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen32% Draw42% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.