Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2016

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016
Sat 25 Feb 2017 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 5.75
Draw 4.20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.57

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
18 Feb TuS Dassendorf A 2–2 D
12 Feb Karlsruher SC H 2–1 W
04 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 0–3 L
29 Jan SV Sandhausen 1916 H 2–1 W
20 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Hamburger SV A 3–0 W
18 Feb 1. CfR Pforzheim H 3–0 W
14 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
11 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
08 Feb SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–1 D
04 Feb TuS Erndtebruck H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV25% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
52%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV18% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen36%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.