Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2016

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016
Sat 25 Feb 2017 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 5.75
Draw 4.20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.57

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
18 Feb TuS Dassendorf A 2–2 D
12 Feb Karlsruher SC H 2–1 W
04 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 0–3 L
29 Jan SV Sandhausen 1916 H 2–1 W
20 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Hamburger SV A 3–0 W
18 Feb 1. CfR Pforzheim H 3–0 W
14 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
11 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
08 Feb SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–1 D
04 Feb TuS Erndtebruck H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hamburger SV to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hamburger SV.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV25% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
52%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV18% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen36%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.