Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Fabio Vieira
Jarell Quansah 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SVBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
09 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
02 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
25 Apr 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
18 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV
#12 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at BayArena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are looking to make home advantage count against Hamburger SV.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Warmed Omari is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 15' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 24' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Jordan Torunarigha gets a card.
  • 29' The 27-year-old Edmond Tapsoba has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mark Flekken, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kasper Hjulmand might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 49' Ibrahim Maza has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 54' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' Fabio Vieira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
  • 61' GOAL! Fabio Vieira fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 66' Poor challenge from Arthur Augusto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Albert Sambi Lokonga suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Capaldo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' Jarell Quansah makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
  • 79' Jarell Quansah doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' Montrell Culbreath has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 541 appearances.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw37% Hamburger SV21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
79%
Draw or Hamburger SV
58%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hamburger SV
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen23% Draw65% Hamburger SV12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.4%
1 – 0
20.1%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
3%
1 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
1.4%
4 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 25% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 15% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
60%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.