Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Oct | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | D.C. United SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–4 | L |
| 30 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #11 |
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 14 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 29 |
| -9 | GD | -7 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 21% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium!
- 5' Atlanta United FC have won 428 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caleb Wiley is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atlanta United FC.
- 25' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' Another change for Toronto FC made on 45 minute. Adama Diomande leaves to be changed by Ayo Akinola.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 52' GOAL! Federico Bernardeschi fires home to make it 0-1!
- 56' A meaty challenge results in booking for Franco Ibarra on 56.
- 59' Giorgos Giakoumakis gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Miguel Berry and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' Magnificent from Franco Ibarra! That is 0 goals in 167 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 64' Atlanta United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 69' Atlanta United FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 73' The whistle greets Ayo Akinola as he departs to be replaced by Hugo Mbongue.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luiz Araujo suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Atlanta United FC make a change. Matheus Rossetto trudges off to be replaced by Amar Sejdic on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Amar Sejdic 90'
- 10
- 11
- 1
- 12
- 23
- 15
- 14
- 19
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Derrick Etienne 59'
- 22
Bench
- 31
-
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 59'
- 4
-
7
Giorgos Giakoumakis ↑ 59'
- 2
-
13
Amar Sejdic ↑ 90'
- 36
- 24
- 35
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 2
- 23
- 4
- 21
-
99
Adama Diomande ↓ Ayo Akinola 45'
- 14
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 22
Bench
- 8
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 45'
- 27
- 7
- 30
- 5
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 90'
- 83
Coach
Bob Bradley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
| Jordan Perruzza | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2023-03-05
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2023-02-26
Atlanta United FC
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2022-10-09
Atlanta United FC
1–2
New York City FC
L
2022-10-01
New England Revolution
2–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2022-09-17
Atlanta United FC
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2022-09-14
Orlando City SC
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Toronto FC
52%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.