Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sun 5 Mar 2023 · 00:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Toronto FC H 1–1 D
26 Feb San Jose Earthquakes H 2–1 W
09 Oct New York City FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct New England Revolution A 1–2 L
17 Sep Philadelphia Union H 0–0 D
14 Sep Orlando City SC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Atlanta United FC A 1–1 D
26 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–3 L
09 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–4 L
30 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
17 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–4 L
10 Sep Atlanta United FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Toronto FC
#15 Position #12
12 Points 17
18 Played 18
3 / 3 / 12 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
19 Scored 24
33 Conceded 32
-14 GD -8
0.67 PPG 0.94
17% Win % 17%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Atlanta United FC host Toronto FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Atlanta United FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Atlanta United FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayo Akinola is hanging Adama Diomande on the field on 45 minute.
  • 50' Atlanta United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 52' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Federico Bernardeschi on 52.
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Franco Ibarra is booked for Atlanta United FC — Yellow card on 56.
  • 59' The whistle greets Miguel Berry as he departs to be replaced by Giorgos Giakoumakis.
  • 60' The Argentina Franco Ibarra breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 1-1!
  • 64' Derrick Etienne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 64.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Amar Sejdic, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Ayo Akinola as he leaves the pitch. Hugo Mbongue steps in for Toronto FC.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Amar Sejdic is replacing Matheus Rossetto for the Atlanta United FC side.
  • The points are shared — Atlanta United FC 1-1 Toronto FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC47% Draw25% Toronto FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Toronto FC
53%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC33% Draw44% Toronto FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.