Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Philadelphia Union

4 – 0

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 9 Oct 2022 · 18:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Michael Bradley

Y 64' Chris Mavinga

Y 65' Chris Mavinga

Y 81' Federico Bernardeschi

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union 2021-08-04 Philadelphia Union 3–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-24 Philadelphia Union 5–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Oct	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–4	L
17 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
10 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	5–1	W
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	2–0	W
31 Aug	Atlanta United FC	H	4–1	W

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–4	L
30 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–1	L
17 Sep	Orlando City SC	A	0–4	L
10 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	2–4	L
04 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–4	L
31 Aug	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		Toronto FC
#6	Position	#13
39	Points	29
27	Played	27
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	6 / 11 / 10
54	Scored	39
44	Conceded	51
+10	GD	-12
1.44	PPG	1.07
41%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Philadelphia Union to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
4' Daniel Gazdag does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
9' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
14' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
24' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
29' Michael Bradley was booked on 29.
34' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
39' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
42' Mikael Uhre doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
47' DR Congo international Chris Mavinga has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
52' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
57' It’s high time Bob Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
58' GOAL! Daniel Gazdag fires home to make it 3-0!
61' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Noble Okello exits the field as Ayo Akinola enters on 61.
63' Daniel Gazdag has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
64' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Chris Mavinga on 64 minutes.
65' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Chris Mavinga.
67' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Cory Burke comes on to replace Mikael Uhre.
68' Hugo Mbongue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesus Jimenez on 68 minute.
73' The whistle greets Jack McGlynn as he departs to be replaced by Alejandro Bedoya.
78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
81' The referee calls foul for Federico Bernardeschi. He receives a Yellow card.
84' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Federico Bernardeschi is replaced by Jayden Nelson.
86' The crowd applauds Jose Andres Martinez as he leaves the pitch. Quinn Sullivan steps in for Philadelphia Union.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Philadelphia Union take all three points.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
15
Olivier Mbaizo
9
Julian Carranza
7
Mikael Uhre ↓ Cory Burke 67'
6
Daniel Gazdag
8
Jose Andres Martinez ↓ Quinn Sullivan 86'
5
Jakob Glesnes
31
Leon Flach
2
Matthew Real
16
Jack McGlynn ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 73'

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Quentin Westberg
10
Federico Bernardeschi ↓ Jayden Nelson 84'
23
Chris Mavinga
4
Michael Bradley
8
Mark-Anthony Kaye
27
Shane O'Neill
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Hugo Mbongue 68'
14
Noble Okello ↓ Ayo Akinola 61'
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
5
Lukas MacNaughton ↓ Doneil Henry 68'
38
Luca Petrasso ↓ Themi Antonoglou 61'

Bench

25
Alex Bono
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 61'
15
Doneil Henry ↑ 68'
99
Ifunanyachi Achara
11
Jayden Nelson ↑ 84'
29
Deandre Kerr
12
Kadin Chung
81
Themi Antonoglou ↑ 61'
83
Hugo Mbongue ↑ 68'

Coach Bob Bradley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Mikael Uhre	4
Daniel Gazdag	4
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Nathan Harriel	2
Julian Carranza	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC W 2022-10-01 Charlotte FC 4–0 Philadelphia Union L 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D 2022-09-10 Philadelphia Union 5–1 Orlando City SC W 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2022-08-31 Philadelphia Union 4–1 Atlanta United FC W

Toronto FC Form

2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC L 2022-09-30 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2022-09-17 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC L 2022-09-10 Atlanta United FC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2022-09-04 Toronto FC 3–4 Montreal Impact FC L 2022-08-31 Toronto FC 2–2 Los Angeles Galaxy D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.28 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Philadelphia Union to win 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union75% Draw15% Toronto FC10%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 4.31

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

90%

Draw or Toronto FC

25%

Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC

85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union61% Draw30% Toronto FC9%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

7.9%

3 – 0

7.9%

2 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

7.5%

4 – 1

6.5%

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

5.3%

1 – 0

4.5%

5 – 1

4.3%

5 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

4.1%

2 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	41%	—	59%
-2	41%	20%	39%
-1.5	61%	—	39%
-1	61%	17%	21%
-0.5	79%	—	21%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	5%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.