Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Sat 25 Jun 2022 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Jayden Nelson 28' Y

Carlos Salcedo 52' Y

Y 54' Marcelino Moreno

Y 70' Luiz Araujo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC 2021-10-16 Toronto FC 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2021-08-18 Atlanta United FC 1–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-18 Toronto FC 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	2–1	W
18 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
28 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–2	W
21 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
14 May	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
08 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–1	L

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
19 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	2–0	W
28 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L
21 May	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
15 May	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
07 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Atlanta United FC
#11	Position	#14
14	Points	11
14	Played	14
3 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 9
22	Scored	14
29	Conceded	23
-7	GD	-9
1.00	PPG	0.79
21%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Toronto FC kicks off things out of here…
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josef Martinez made 283 appearances and scored 148 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
8' The Canada Jonathan Osorio breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 1-0!
13' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
18' Atlanta United FC have won 428 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
23' Aiden McFadden has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 283 appearances.
28' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jayden Nelson.
33' Pozuelo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
46' Deandre Kerr is replacing Jayden Nelson for the Toronto FC side.
51' The 30-year-old Matheus Rossetto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
52' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Carlos Salcedo.
54' A moment of madness from Marcelino Moreno on 54 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Atlanta United FC will be frustrated.
57' Luiz Araujo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
62' Jonathan Osorio makes way for Ralph Priso-Mbongue at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
64' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Franco Ibarra exits the field as Matheus Rossetto enters on 64.
67' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jesus Jimenez is withdrawn and Jacob Shaffelburg gets his opportunity.
70' Atlanta United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
75' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Atlanta United FC's shape.
78' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ralph Priso-Mbongue on 78.
82' Emerson Hyndman makes way for Amar Sejdic at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
86' Shane O'Neill gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Ayo Akinola and will look to change the dynamic.
With this win, Toronto FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Quentin Westberg
3
Carlos Salcedo
23
Chris Mavinga
4
Michael Bradley
21
Jonathan Osorio ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 62'
20
Ayo Akinola ↓ Shane O'Neill 86'
10
Pozuelo
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Jacob Shaffelburg 67'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
38
Luca Petrasso ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 67'
47
Kosi Thompson

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Julian Gressel	3
Federico Bernardeschi	3
Josef Martinez	3
Juan Sanchez	3
Luiz Araujo	3
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Pozuelo	2
Thiago Almada	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC W 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC L 2022-05-28 Toronto FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-05-21 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2022-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2022-05-08 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–0 Toronto FC L

Atlanta United FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2022-06-19 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2022-05-28 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L 2022-05-21 Nashville SC 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2022-05-15 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New England Revolution D 2022-05-07 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.68 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC48% Draw26% Atlanta United FC26%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

52%

Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC34% Draw45% Atlanta United FC21%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

0 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

6.7%

0 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.