Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Sat 25 Jun 2022 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Jayden Nelson 28' Y

Carlos Salcedo 52' Y

Y 54' Marcelino Moreno

Y 70' Luiz Araujo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 19 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC 2021-10-16 Toronto FC 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2021-08-18 Atlanta United FC 1–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-18 Toronto FC 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	2–1	W
18 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
28 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–2	W
21 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
14 May	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
08 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–1	L

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
19 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	2–0	W
28 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L
21 May	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
15 May	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
07 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Atlanta United FC
#12	Position	#13
39	Points	33
34	Played	34
9 / 12 / 13	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 19
52	Scored	43
67	Conceded	60
-15	GD	-17
1.15	PPG	0.97
26%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC is underway.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
8' Jonathan Osorio doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
13' The travelling Atlanta United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
18' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atlanta United FC backline.
23' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
28' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Pineda will be considering his options from the bench.
46' The whistle greets Jayden Nelson as he departs to be replaced by Deandre Kerr.
51' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
52' Carlos Salcedo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
54' That is a Yellow card for Atlanta United FC. Marcelino Moreno will be fuming at that decision.
57' Goal! Luiz Araujo scores his 36 goal in 480 matches.
62' Another change for Toronto FC made on 62 minute. Jonathan Osorio leaves to be changed by Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
64' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Franco Ibarra is replaced by Matheus Rossetto.
67' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Jesus Jimenez departs to be replaced by Jacob Shaffelburg.
70' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Luiz Araujo.
75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
78' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ralph Priso-Mbongue on 78.
82' Amar Sejdic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emerson Hyndman on 82 minute.
86' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Ayo Akinola is replaced by Shane O'Neill on 86 minute.
Toronto FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Quentin Westberg
3
Carlos Salcedo
23
Chris Mavinga
4
Michael Bradley
21
Jonathan Osorio ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 62'
20
Ayo Akinola ↓ Shane O'Neill 86'
10
Pozuelo
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Jacob Shaffelburg 67'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
38
Luca Petrasso ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 67'
47
Kosi Thompson

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Federico Bernardeschi	3
Josef Martinez	3
Juan Sanchez	3
Luiz Araujo	3
Julian Gressel	3
Sebastian Giovinco	2
Aleksei Miranchuk	2
Pozuelo	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC W 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC L 2022-05-28 Toronto FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-05-21 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2022-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2022-05-08 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–0 Toronto FC L

Atlanta United FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2022-06-19 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2022-05-28 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L 2022-05-21 Nashville SC 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2022-05-15 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New England Revolution D 2022-05-07 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.73 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC47% Draw25% Atlanta United FC28%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

53%

Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC33% Draw43% Atlanta United FC24%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

1 – 0

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.