Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Sat 25 Jun 2022 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Jayden Nelson 28' Y

Carlos Salcedo 52' Y

Y 54' Marcelino Moreno

Y 70' Luiz Araujo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-10-30 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC 2021-10-16 Toronto FC 0–2 Atlanta United FC 2021-08-18 Atlanta United FC 1–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-18 Toronto FC 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	2–1	W
18 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
28 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–2	W
21 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
14 May	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
08 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–1	L

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
19 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	2–0	W
28 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–2	L
21 May	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
15 May	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
07 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Atlanta United FC
#13	Position	#14
29	Points	27
27	Played	27
6 / 11 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 14
39	Scored	32
51	Conceded	45
-12	GD	-13
1.07	PPG	1.00
22%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Atlanta United FC — let the battle begin!
5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
8' A goal from the Canada international Jonathan Osorio! He fires home on 8 to make it 1-0!
13' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
18' Josef Martinez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atlanta United FC tonight.
23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jayden Nelson on 28.
33' The 29-year-old Amar Sejdic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Machop Chol, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' Deandre Kerr gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Jayden Nelson and will look to change the dynamic.
51' Kosi Thompson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 288 appearances.
52' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Carlos Salcedo gets a Yellow card.
54' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marcelino Moreno.
57' GOAL! Luiz Araujo fires home to make it 1-1!
62' The whistle greets Jonathan Osorio as he departs to be replaced by Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
64' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Franco Ibarra departs to be replaced by Matheus Rossetto.
67' Jesus Jimenez makes way for Jacob Shaffelburg at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
70' It’s a booking for Atlanta United FC player. Luiz Araujo gets a Yellow card.
75' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
78' Ralph Priso-Mbongue doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
82' Amar Sejdic is replacing Emerson Hyndman for the Atlanta United FC side.
86' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Ayo Akinola by Shane O'Neill on 86 minute.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Quentin Westberg
3
Carlos Salcedo
23
Chris Mavinga
4
Michael Bradley
21
Jonathan Osorio ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 62'
20
Ayo Akinola ↓ Shane O'Neill 86'
10
Pozuelo
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Jacob Shaffelburg 67'
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
38
Luca Petrasso ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 67'
47
Kosi Thompson

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Federico Bernardeschi	3
Josef Martinez	3
Juan Sanchez	3
Luiz Araujo	3
Julian Gressel	3
Pozuelo	2
Thiago Almada	2
Josef Martinez	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC W 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC L 2022-05-28 Toronto FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-05-21 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2022-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2022-05-08 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–0 Toronto FC L

Atlanta United FC Form

2022-06-25 Toronto FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2022-06-19 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2022-05-28 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Columbus Crew SC L 2022-05-21 Nashville SC 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2022-05-15 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New England Revolution D 2022-05-07 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.64 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC46% Draw26% Atlanta United FC28%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

54%

Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC32% Draw45% Atlanta United FC23%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 0

0 – 1

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	21%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.