Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Internazionale Milano vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,739 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lautaro Martinez 53' 2–0
Hakan Calhanoglu pen 58' 3–0
Lautaro Martinez 73' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Internazionale Milano vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
28 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
19 Aug AC Monza H 2–0 W
10 Jun Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
03 Jun Torino FC A 1–0 W
27 May Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
27 Aug US Lecce H 2–2 D
19 Aug Genoa CFC A 4–1 W
02 Jun US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–1 W
27 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
21 May Torino FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Internazionale Milano ACF Fiorentina
#1 Position #15
87 Points 42
38 Played 38
27 / 6 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
89 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+54 GD -9
2.29 PPG 1.11
71% Win % 24%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.77 FC Internazionale Milano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + FC Internazionale Milano to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Internazionale Milano68% Draw18% ACF Fiorentina14%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC Internazionale Milano or Draw
86%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
32%
FC Internazionale Milano or ACF Fiorentina
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Internazionale Milano54% Draw34% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Internazionale Milano

Handicap FC Internazionale Milano covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 20% 47%
-1.5 53% 47%
-1 53% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
37%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.