ACF Fiorentina vs Udinese Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

ACF Fiorentina

5 – 1

Full Time

Udinese Calcio

Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Udinese Calcio — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Maurizio Mariani

14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.4 goals Udinese Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio 2025-05-25 Udinese Calcio 2–3 ACF Fiorentina 2024-12-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Udinese Calcio 2024-01-14 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese Calcio 2023-09-24 Udinese Calcio 0–2 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Udinese Calcio	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	1–2	L
06 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	1–3	L
30 Nov	Atalanta BC	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	Juventus FC	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Genoa CFC	A	2–2	D

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–5	L
14 Dec	SSC Napoli	H	1–0	W
08 Dec	Genoa CFC	H	1–2	L
29 Nov	Parma Calcio 1913	A	2–0	W
22 Nov	Bologna FC 1909	H	0–3	L
09 Nov	AS Roma	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina		Udinese Calcio
#15	Position	#10
42	Points	50
38	Played	38
9 / 15 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 8 / 16
41	Scored	45
50	Conceded	48
-9	GD	-3
1.11	PPG	1.32
24%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for ACF Fiorentina and Udinese Calcio.
Full Time. ACF Fiorentina beats Udinese Calcio

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gaetano Castrovilli	3
Giacomo Bonaventura	2
Nikola Milenkovic	2
Stefano Okaka	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Lorenzo Lucca	2
Moise Kean	2
Nicolo Fagioli	1

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio W 2025-12-14 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona FC L 2025-12-06 US Sassuolo Calcio 3–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-11-22 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus FC D 2025-11-09 Genoa CFC 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D

Udinese Calcio Form

2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio L 2025-12-14 Udinese Calcio 1–0 SSC Napoli W 2025-12-08 Udinese Calcio 1–2 Genoa CFC L 2025-11-29 Parma Calcio 1913 0–2 Udinese Calcio W 2025-11-22 Udinese Calcio 0–3 Bologna FC 1909 L 2025-11-09 AS Roma 2–0 Udinese Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.04 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 Udinese Calcio xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina54% Draw23% Udinese Calcio23%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

77%

Draw or Udinese Calcio

46%

ACF Fiorentina or Udinese Calcio

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina40% Draw41% Udinese Calcio19%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.1%

3 – 0

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

3.9%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	Udinese Calcio covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	21%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.