Thursday , 2 July 2026

Parma Calcio 1913 vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Parma Calcio 1913 vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
13 Dec SS Lazio H 0–1 L
08 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 1–0 W
29 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–2 L
23 Nov Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
08 Nov AC Milan H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio H 5–1 W
14 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
06 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–3 L
30 Nov Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
22 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Parma Calcio 1913 ACF Fiorentina
#12 Position #15
45 Points 42
38 Played 38
11 / 12 / 15 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
28 Scored 41
46 Conceded 50
-18 GD -9
1.18 PPG 1.11
29% Win % 24%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Parma Calcio 1913 are 12th (45 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Parma Calcio 1913 or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Parma Calcio 191343% Draw31% ACF Fiorentina26%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Parma Calcio 1913 or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
57%
Parma Calcio 1913 or ACF Fiorentina
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Parma Calcio 191325% Draw55% ACF Fiorentina20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Parma Calcio 1913

Handicap Parma Calcio 1913 covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
42%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.