Saturday , 14 November 2026

Parma Calcio 1913 vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Parma Calcio 1913 vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
9 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
13 Dec SS Lazio H 0–1 L
08 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 1–0 W
29 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–2 L
23 Nov Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
08 Nov AC Milan H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio H 5–1 W
14 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
06 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–3 L
30 Nov Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
22 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Parma Calcio 1913 ACF Fiorentina
#16 Position #15
8 Points 9
11 Played 11
2 / 2 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
9 Scored 17
17 Conceded 25
-8 GD -8
0.73 PPG 0.82
18% Win % 18%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Parma Calcio 1913 this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Parma Calcio 1913 are 16th (8 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Parma Calcio 1913
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Parma Calcio 1913
Simone Lontani 3 G
Jose Romero 2 G
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Parma Calcio 1913 or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Parma Calcio 191345% Draw28% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Parma Calcio 1913 or Draw
73%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
55%
Parma Calcio 1913 or ACF Fiorentina
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Parma Calcio 191328% Draw50% ACF Fiorentina22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Parma Calcio 1913

Handicap Parma Calcio 1913 covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.