ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A .
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davide Massa
28 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87 2 SSC Napoli 38 76 3 AS Roma 38 73 4 Como 1907 38 71 5 AC Milan 38 70 6 Juventus FC 38 69 7 Atalanta BC 38 59 8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56 9 SS Lazio 38 54 10 Udinese Calcio 38 50 11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49 12 Torino FC 38 45 13 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45 14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43 15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42 16 Genoa CFC 38 41 17 US Lecce 38 38 18 US Cremonese 38 34 19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21 20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D 07 Jan SS Lazio A 2–2 D 04 Jan US Cremonese H 1–0 W 27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L 21 Dec Udinese Calcio H 5–1 W 14 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D 08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D 02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W 28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W 14 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–2 D 08 Dec Torino FC A 3–2 W Season Stats
ACF Fiorentina AC Milan #15 Position #5 42 Points 70 38 Played 38 9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8 41 Scored 53 50 Conceded 35 -9 GD +18 1.11 PPG 1.84 24% Win % 53% Key Stats
58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history26% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season41% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this seasonACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina0-15–/116-302/131-452/146-60–/161-75–/176+2/–■ Scored ■ ConcededAC Milan0-151/216-30–/231-451/146-601/361-75–/176+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
ACF FiorentinaMoise Kean 8 G 1 A Rolando Mandragora 6 G 3 A Albert Gudmundsson 5 G 4 A AC MilanRafael Leao 9 G 3 A Christian Pulisic 8 G 3 A Adrien Rabiot 6 G 4 A -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
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Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Rafael Leao 4 Erick Pulgar 3 Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3 Dusan Vlahovic 3 Alfred Duncan 2 Franck Ribery 2 Theo Hernandez 2 Franck Kessie 2 Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.18 ACF Fiorentina xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.42 AC Milan xGI would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 71%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.6Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 73% 27% ± 2.5 48% 52% ± 3.5 27% 73% ± 4.5 13% 87% Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw 61%Draw or AC Milan 68%ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 71%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual0 – 1 9.5%0 – 0 9.5%1 – 2 8.5%1 – 0 7.7%0 – 2 7.3%2 – 1 7.1%2 – 2 5.1%2 – 0 5%1 – 3 4.1%0 – 3 3.4%3 – 1 2.8%Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 9% 87% -1.5 13% — 87% -1 13% 17% 70% -0.5 30% — 70% +0.5 59% — 41% +1 59% 21% 20% +1.5 80% — 20% +2 80% 12% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet 25% ✓AC Milan keeps clean sheet 31% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.