Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
10 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D
07 Jan SS Lazio A 2–2 D
04 Jan US Cremonese H 1–0 W
27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio H 5–1 W
14 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
14 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–2 D
08 Dec Torino FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#18 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan has kicked off!
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.71 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina32% Draw38% AC Milan30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
70%
Draw or AC Milan
68%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina18% Draw64% AC Milan18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.4%
1 – 0
15.8%
0 – 1
15.4%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
1.7%
3 – 0
1.3%
0 – 3
1.2%
3 – 1
1.1%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 21% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 20% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
50%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.