ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

ACF Fiorentina

1 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Davide Massa

4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan 2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–1	D
07 Jan	SS Lazio	A	2–2	D
04 Jan	US Cremonese	H	1–0	W
27 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Udinese Calcio	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	1–2	L

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–1	D
08 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
02 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–0	W
28 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	3–0	W
14 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D
08 Dec	Torino FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina		AC Milan
#17	Position	#5
4	Points	11
5	Played	5
1 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 0
6	Scored	10
12	Conceded	4
-6	GD	+6
0.80	PPG	2.20
20%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina

0-15

–/–

16-30

2/4

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/2

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono	3 G
Mateo Pellegrino	2 G

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! ACF Fiorentina welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at .
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Erick Pulgar	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Dusan Vlahovic	3
Franck Ribery	2
Theo Hernandez	2
Franck Kessie	2
Hakan Calhanoglu	2

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-07 SS Lazio 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2026-01-04 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Cremonese W 2025-12-27 Parma Calcio 1913 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio W 2025-12-14 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona FC L

AC Milan Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-08 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D 2025-12-08 Torino FC 2–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.09 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.28 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina23% Draw23% AC Milan54%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

46%

Draw or AC Milan

77%

ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina15% Draw39% AC Milan46%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.4%

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

7.4%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 1

4.5%

1 – 4

4.1%

2 – 3

3.9%

0 – 4

3.8%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	22%	41%
+1.5	59%	—	41%
+2	59%	19%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.