Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs AC Monza, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
4 – 1
Full Time
Sat 22 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AC Monza — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Referee Alessandro Prontera
  • Referee Andrea Zingarelli
  • Referee
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

5
1
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Monza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Milan A 1–4 L
15 Oct Empoli FC A 0–1 L
09 Oct Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
02 Oct UC Sampdoria A 3–0 W
18 Sep Juventus FC H 1–0 W
11 Sep US Lecce A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan AC Monza
#5 Position #16
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 8
4 Conceded 12
+6 GD -4
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AC Monza are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Monza
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and AC Monza is underway.
  • 5' AC Monza started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Tommaso Pobega has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' A stunning finish from Brahim Diaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Monza that had 154 games and scored 138 goals.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and AC Monza are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Divock Origi on 31.
  • 36' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Monza's shape.
  • 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brahim Diaz makes it 2-0.
  • 46' Sergino Dest makes way for Pierre Kalulu at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 53' AC Milan ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Charles De Ketelaere to step up.
  • 54' Andrea Carboni is replacing Luca Caldirola for the AC Monza side.
  • 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Simon Kjaer is withdrawn and Matteo Gabbia gets his opportunity.
  • 65' A stunning finish from Divock Origi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' AC Monza ring the changes. Gianluca Caprari has done his job and it is now time for Christian Gytkjaer to step up.
  • 70' GOAL! Filippo Ranocchia fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 72' Controversy at the stadium! Warren Bondo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 78' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Divock Origi by Aster Vranckx on 78 minute.
  • 83' It looks surprising AC Monza does not make any changes. Valentin Antov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' Assisted by Theo Hernandez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.35 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 AC Monza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + AC Milan to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan73% Draw15% AC Monza12%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or AC Monza
27%
AC Milan or AC Monza
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan62% Draw29% AC Monza9%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
6.9%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5%
5 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.6%
5 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AC Monza covers
-2.5 44% — 56%
-2 44% 20% 37%
-1.5 63% — 37%
-1 63% 17% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.