Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs AC Monza, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
AC Milan
4 – 1
Full Time
AC Monza
Sat 22 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'
Divock Origi 31' Y
Y 72' Warren Bondo

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AC Monza — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Referee Alessandro Prontera
  • Referee Andrea Zingarelli
  • Referee
13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

5
1
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Monza
Last 5 meetings
2022-10-22 AC Milan 4–1 AC Monza

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
AC Monza
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Milan A 1–4 L
15 Oct Empoli FC A 0–1 L
09 Oct Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
02 Oct UC Sampdoria A 3–0 W
18 Sep Juventus FC H 1–0 W
11 Sep US Lecce A 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at San Siro. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against AC Monza.
  • 5' Tommaso Pobega is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Monza so far.
  • 10' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Monza's shape.
  • 16' What a moment for Brahim Diaz! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' AC Monza started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' A moment of madness from Divock Origi on 31 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 36' Italy international Gianluca Caprari has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Brahim Diaz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Pierre Kalulu on, Sergino Dest off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Brahim Diaz exits the field as Charles De Ketelaere enters on 53.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Andrea Carboni. He replaces Luca Caldirola on 54 minute.
  • 59' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Simon Kjaer is replaced by Matteo Gabbia.
  • 65' GOAL! Divock Origi scores on 65. Assisted by Junior Messias
  • 66' A change in the AC Monza ranks — Gianluca Caprari exits the field as Christian Gytkjaer enters on 66.
  • 70' What a moment for Filippo Ranocchia! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' Warren Bondo is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Aster Vranckx on, Divock Origi off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 466 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

AC Monza Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 AC Monza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + AC Milan to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan58% Draw23% AC Monza19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or AC Monza
42%
AC Milan or AC Monza
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan43% Draw41% AC Monza16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AC Monza covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.