Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs AC Monza, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
4 1
Full Time
Sat 22 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AC MonzaSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Referee Alessandro Prontera
  • Referee Andrea Zingarelli
  • Referee
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

5
1
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Monza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct AC Milan A 1–4 L
15 Oct Empoli FC A 0–1 L
09 Oct Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
02 Oct UC Sampdoria A 3–0 W
18 Sep Juventus FC H 1–0 W
11 Sep US Lecce A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan AC Monza
#8 Position #21
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). AC Monza are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs AC Monza — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Sergino Dest has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' Brahim Diaz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
  • 21' The travelling AC Monza supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Monza's shape.
  • 41' Goal! Brahim Diaz scores his 38 goal in 436 matches.
  • 46' Pierre Kalulu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergino Dest at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Junior Messias, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 53' Charles De Ketelaere gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Brahim Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 54' AC Monza ring the changes. Luca Caldirola has done his job and it is now time for Andrea Carboni to step up.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Matteo Gabbia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Simon Kjaer on 61 minute.
  • 65' Divock Origi doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 66' Christian Gytkjaer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gianluca Caprari on 66 minute.
  • 70' A goal from the Italy international Filippo Ranocchia! He fires home on 70 to make it 3-1!
  • 72' AC Monza receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 77' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 78' A tactical swap from AC MilanAster Vranckx on, Divock Origi off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' A goal from the Portugal international Rafael Leao! He fires home on 84 to make it 4-1!
  • 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.44 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 AC Monza xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw28% AC Monza15%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or AC Monza
43%
AC Milan or AC Monza
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw53% AC Monza9%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
18.7%
0 – 0
15.9%
2 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.4%
2 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AC Monza covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 28% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
58%
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.