AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Federico La Penna
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Lo Cicero
- Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
4 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | SSC Napoli | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna FC 1909 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa CFC | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari Calcio | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta BC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 10 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese Calcio | 10 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 10 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Sep | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | Venezia FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Torino FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #14 |
| 21 | Points | 9 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 6 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 7 |
| 21 | Scored | 11 |
| 12 | Conceded | 21 |
| +9 | GD | -10 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 0.90 |
| 60% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 5th (21 pts). US Lecce are 14th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 3 A |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 4 G | |
| Christian Pulisic | 3 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 1 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza!
- 5' The 27-year-old Joel Monteiro has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' AC Milan currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 14' Christian Pulisic puts AC Milan on the lead.
- 19' Luka Modric is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Pierotti made 118 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 34' Konan N'Dri, a Ivory Coast , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Nikola Stulic exits the field as Paco Esteban enters on 46.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and US Lecce are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 58' It’s gonna be a card for Danilo Veiga.
- 61' Adrien Rabiot adds to his 4 season tally! AC Milan lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 66' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 69' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Christian Pulisic by Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 69 minute.
- 70' The crowd applauds Joel Monteiro as he leaves the pitch. Amar Ahmed Fatah steps in for US Lecce.
- 73' Diego Moreira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 76' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Pervis Estupinan by Davide Bartesaghi on 76 minute.
- 81' It’s high time Eusebio Di Francesco made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 82' Konan N'Dri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santiago Pierotti on 82 minute.
- 87' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Francesco Camarda on, Samuel Chukwueze off on 87 minutes.
- 3-0 the final result. US Lecce will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 12
- 16
- 11
-
14
Luka Modric ↓ Yunus Musah 76'
- 21
- 2
- 56
- 31
- 9
- 5
- 34
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 69'
- 23
- 1
- 46
- 42
- 30
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 76'
- 20
-
22
Diego Moreira ↑ 69'
- 70
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 76'
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 87'
- 96
- 13
- 28
Coach
Ruben Amorim
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 25
- 29
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↓ Konan N'Dri 82'
-
20
Ivan Ilic ↓ Mohamed Kaba 70'
- 30
- 5
-
14
Youssef Maleh ↓ Oumar Ngom 70'
- 17
- 99
- 4
-
9
Nikola Stulic ↓ Paco Esteban 46'
Bench
- 3
- 1
- 32
-
11
Konan N'Dri ↑ 82'
-
77
Mohamed Kaba ↑ 70'
- 8
-
79
Oumar Ngom ↑ 70'
- 18
- 2
-
7
Amar Ahmed Fatah ↑ 70'
- 28
- 31
-
22
Paco Esteban ↑ 46'
Coach
Eusebio Di Francesco
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 74% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
90%
Draw or US Lecce
26%
AC Milan or US Lecce
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
7%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
5 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
2.8%
5 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

