Saturday , 19 September 2026

AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2026-27
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Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs US LecceSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
12 Sep SS Lazio A 2–2 D
06 Sep Juventus FC A 1–1 D
28 Aug Venezia FC H 2–0 W
23 Aug Torino FC A 2–1 W
24 May Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AC Monza H 3–2 W
07 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 0–1 L
31 Aug AS Roma H 0–4 L
23 Aug Venezia FC A 2–0 W
24 May Genoa CFC H 1–0 W
17 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–2 W

Season Stats

AC Milan US Lecce
#6 Position #12
8 Points 6
4 Played 4
2 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
7 Scored 5
4 Conceded 7
+3 GD -2
2.00 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
25% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

AC Milan are 6th (8 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
6/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

H2H

Predictions

1.93 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 59%

Match Result

AC Milan59% Draw24% US Lecce17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.85

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
82%
Draw or US Lecce
41%
AC Milan or US Lecce
76%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan42% Draw44% US Lecce14%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.