Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs Parma Calcio 1913, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–2 L
06 Jan AS Roma H 0–2 L
03 Jan Juventus FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec Como 1907 H 0–3 L
12 Dec AC Pisa 1909 H 1–0 W
07 Dec US Cremonese A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan US Lecce A 2–1 W
07 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
03 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–1 D
27 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
13 Dec SS Lazio H 0–1 L
08 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 1–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce Parma Calcio 1913
#17 Position #12
38 Points 45
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 11 / 12 / 15
28 Scored 28
50 Conceded 46
-22 GD -18
1.00 PPG 1.18
26% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Parma Calcio 1913 are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.03 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
I would bet for: Parma Calcio 1913 or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce30% Draw31% Parma Calcio 191339%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
61%
Draw or Parma Calcio 1913
70%
US Lecce or Parma Calcio 1913
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce21% Draw51% Parma Calcio 191328%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push Parma Calcio 1913 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
29%
Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.