Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Champions League 2022-23 QUARTER FINALS

1 – 0
Full Time
Wed 12 Apr 2023 · 19:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Champions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Horatiu Fesnic
  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Referee Vasile Marinescu
  • Referee Artene Ovidiu (Romania)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
07 Apr Empoli FC H 0–0 D
02 Apr SSC Napoli A 4–0 W
18 Mar Udinese Calcio A 1–3 L
13 Mar US Salernitana 1919 H 1–1 D
08 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr AC Milan A 0–1 L
07 Apr US Lecce A 2–1 W
02 Apr AC Milan H 0–4 L
19 Mar Torino FC A 4–0 W
15 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
11 Mar Atalanta BC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and SSC Napoli is underway.
  • 5' Mario Rui has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fikayo Tomori, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' The 29-year-old Alex Meret has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Piotr Zielinski.
  • 40' GOAL! Ismael Bennacer scores on 40.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Stefano Pioli argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 49' The travelling SSC Napoli supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 54' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SSC Napoli's shape.
  • 60' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 61' Ismael Bennacer is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 66' Simon Kjaer, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Alexis Saelemaekers. He replaces Ismael Bennacer on 67 minute.
  • 69' Giacomo Raspadori gets the nod from SSC Napoli. He replaces Hirving Lozano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Andre Zambo Anguissa is booked for SSC Napoli — Yellow card on 70.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andre Zambo Anguissa on 71.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Giovanni Di Lorenzo on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Andre Zambo Anguissa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 74.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Andre Zambo Anguissa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • 78' Min-Jae Kim has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 78.
  • 80' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Ante Rebic.
  • 82' The SSC Napoli manager makes a substitution. Mario Rui departs to be replaced by Mathias Olivera.
  • 83' The SSC Napoli bench stirs into life. Piotr Zielinski is withdrawn and Matteo Politano gets his opportunity.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and SSC Napoli are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • SSC Napoli will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan44% Draw30% SSC Napoli26%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or SSC Napoli
56%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan26% Draw53% SSC Napoli21%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.