1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2020-21

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 2

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Tue 19 Jan 2021 · 19:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Y 53' Maximilian Philipp

Jean-Paul Boetius 57' Y

Y 90' Josuha Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Thorben Siewer
Referee Philipp Huwe
Referee Patrick Alt
Referee Soren Storks

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2021-01-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2020-02-23 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2019-09-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2019-02-16 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-09-26 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
16 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
09 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	0–2	L
03 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	2–5	L
23 Dec	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–2	D
19 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–0	W
16 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	2–2	D
09 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
03 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–2	L
23 Dec	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	4–0	W
20 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfL Wolfsburg
#10	Position	#16
40	Points	29
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 19
44	Scored	45
53	Conceded	69
-9	GD	-24
1.18	PPG	0.85
29%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Opel Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg.
5' Maximilian Arnold has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 471 appearances.
10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' The 35-year-old Admir Mehmedi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
30' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
35' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Levin Oztunali has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
40' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
45' Jean-Paul Boetius has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
50' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
53' Maximilian Philipp was booked on 53.
57' Controversy at the stadium! Jean-Paul Boetius argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
60' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Josip Brekalo trudges off to be replaced by Bartosz Bialek on 60 minutes.
62' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jean-Paul Boetius by Dominik Kohr on 62 minute.
65' A goal from the Poland international Bartosz Bialek! He fires home on 65 to make it 0-1!
70' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
74' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Maximilian Philipp trudges off to be replaced by Yannick Gerhardt on 74 minutes.
75' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Mbabu is hanging Ridle Baku on the field on 75 minute.
79' What a strike from Wout Weghorst! The score is 0-2.
82' Robin Quaison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 82 minute.
87' Admir Mehmedi gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Wout Weghorst and will look to change the dynamic.
88' The crowd applauds Maximilian Arnold as he leaves the pitch. Josuha Guilavogui steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
90' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Josuha Guilavogui gets a Yellow card.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

23
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Adam Szalai 74'
42
Alexander Hack
6
Danny Latza C
8
Levin Oztunali ↓ Niklas Tauer 62'
21
Karim Onisiwo
5
Jean-Paul Boetius ↓ Niklas Tauer 62'
19
Moussa Niakhate
35
Leandro Barreiro Martins
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Robin Quaison 82'

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

4
Maxence Lacroix
1
Koen Casteels C
9
Wout Weghorst ↓ Admir Mehmedi 87'
25
John Brooks
27
Maximilian Arnold ↓ Josuha Guilavogui 88'
8
Renato Steffen
7
Josip Brekalo ↓ Bartosz Bialek 60'
17
Maximilian Philipp ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 74'
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Kevin Mbabu 75'
6
Paulo Otavio
24
Xaver Schlager

Bench

33
Daniel Ginczek
2
William
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↑ 88'
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 74'
14
Admir Mehmedi ↑ 87'
12
Pavao Pervan
19
Kevin Mbabu ↑ 75'
40
Joao Victor
21
Bartosz Bialek ↑ 60'

Coach Oliver Glasner

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2021-01-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2021-01-16 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2021-01-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2021-01-03 FC Bayern München 5–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2020-12-23 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Bochum 1848 D 2020-12-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2021-01-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2021-01-16 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig D 2021-01-09 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2021-01-03 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2020-12-23 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 W 2020-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.18 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.54 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg46%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.72

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

55%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw46% VfL Wolfsburg32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 0

8.5%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 0

6.8%

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

3.8%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	21%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.