1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 1

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Siebert

9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–3	L
17 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–1	D
14 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
11 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	1–8	L
20 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	3–4	L
13 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	3–1	W

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting VfL Wolfsburg for another epic battle.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2
Stefan Bell	2
Wout Weghorst	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2026-01-17 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2026-01-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg L 2025-12-13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.09 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0556% Draw23% VfL Wolfsburg21%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

79%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

44%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0541% Draw41% VfL Wolfsburg18%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.