1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
31 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W 17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L 13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W 10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D 21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D 14 Dec FC Bayern Munchen A 2–2 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 24 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L 17 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D 14 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W 11 Jan FC Bayern Munchen A 1–8 L 20 Dec SC Freiburg H 3–4 L 13 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W Season Stats
1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg #10 Position #16 40 Points 29 34 Played 34 10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19 44 Scored 45 53 Conceded 69 -9 GD -24 1.18 PPG 0.85 29% Win % 21% Key Stats
48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ ConcededVfL Wolfsburg0-151/–16-301/231-453/246-602/361-75–/376+2/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting VfL Wolfsburg for another epic battle.
- Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats VfL Wolfsburg
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Jonas Wind 7 Max Kruse 3 Maximilian Arnold 3 Jonathan Burkardt 3 Renato Steffen 2 Paul Nebel 2 Maximilian Philipp 2 Sebastiaan Bornauw 2 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.33 VfL Wolfsburg xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.71Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 88% 12% ± 2.5 70% 30% ± 3.5 50% 50% ± 4.5 31% 69% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 80%Draw or VfL Wolfsburg 41%1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 79%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 1 9%1 – 1 8.6%2 – 0 7%3 – 1 Actual2 – 2 5.9%1 – 0 5.5%3 – 0 5.4%1 – 2 5%3 – 2 4.7%4 – 1 4.2%0 – 0 3.7%4 – 0 3.2%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers -2.5 21% — 79% -2 21% 18% 61% -1.5 39% — 61% -1 39% 21% 41% -0.5 59% — 41% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 11% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 6% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 27% ✓VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet 10% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.