Sunday , 16 August 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 16:00 UTC Ursapharm-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05DFB-Pokal at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen

Head-to-Head

2
SV 07 Elversberg 2 games · Avg 10.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–1 L
05 Aug FC Hansa Rostock H 1–2 L
29 Jul Hannover 96 A 2–2 D
18 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–1 L
30 Jul Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 4–3 W
08 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 9–10 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
13 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
05 May FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
30 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ursapharm-Arena that hosts another battle between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' Anton Stach, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Stefan Bell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 13' SV 07 Elversberg ring the changes. Marcel Correia has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Pinckert to step up.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at Ursapharm-Arena. SV 07 Elversberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' Edimilson Fernandes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 48' SV 07 Elversberg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's shape.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' A change in the SV 07 Elversberg ranks — Wahid Faghir exits the field as Paul Stock enters on 58.
  • 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 64' Arne Sicker gets the nod from SV 07 Elversberg. He replaces Kevin Conrad and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 71' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 73' Ludovic Ajorque makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. SV 07 Elversberg in their trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact .
  • 80' SV 07 Elversberg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Sepp van den Berg is replacing Anthony Caci for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 83' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Feil argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 88' SV 07 Elversberg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stefan Bell on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Nelson Weiper on, Ludovic Ajorque off on 90 minutes.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg36% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0541%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
60%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
64%
SV 07 Elversberg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg31% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
12%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.