VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Referee Felix Brych
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Referee Jan Neitzel
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
18 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Hertha BSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 May | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–2 | W |
| 13 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 62 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 71 | Scored | 65 |
| 49 | Conceded | 52 |
| +22 | GD | +13 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Wataru Endo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Sebastian Rudy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 0% of all matches.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacob Bruun Larsen, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 40' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robert Skov is hanging Finn Becker on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 529 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 57' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Ermin Bicakcic on, Ozan Kabak off on 57 minutes.
- 58' Jacob Bruun Larsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christoph Baumgartner at the 58 minute mark.
- 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Umut Tohumcu on, Stanley Nsoki off on 64 minutes.
- 66' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Tiago Tomas comes on to replace Chris Fuhrich.
- 70' The whistle greets Josha Vagnoman as he departs to be replaced by Enzo Millot.
- 75' Assisted by Angelino with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ihlas Bebou makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 78' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Silas Wamangituka is withdrawn and Tanguy Coulibaly gets his opportunity.
- 80' Magnificent from Tiago Tomas! That is 24 goals in 505 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 85' Fabian Bredlow, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' Stanley Nsoki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Luca Pfeiffer 78'
- 14
- 5
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↓ Enzo Millot 70'
- 2
- 24
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Tiago Tomas 66'
- 9
- 33
- 3
- 21
Bench
- 1
- 17
- 15
- 28
-
20
Luca Pfeiffer ↑ 78'
-
7
Tanguy Coulibaly ↑ 78'
- 25
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↑ 66'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↑ 70'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
34
Stanley Nsoki ↓ Umut Tohumcu 64'
- 23
- 9
- 1
- 27
- 14
-
16
Sebastian Rudy ↓ Angelo Stiller 57'
- 6
-
5
Ozan Kabak ↓ Ermin Bicakcic 57'
-
20
Finn Becker ↓ Robert Skov 46'
Bench
-
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 58'
-
4
Ermin Bicakcic ↑ 57'
- 12
- 10
-
29
Robert Skov ↑ 46'
-
13
Angelo Stiller ↑ 57'
- 39
- 35
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 64'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Marc-Oliver Kempf | 2 |
| Tiago Tomas | 2 |
| Ishak Belfodil | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Roberto Massimo | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-05-27
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-05-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–2
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-05-13
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2023-05-06
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2023-04-29
RB Leipzig
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2023-04-22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
1. FC Koln
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
73%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
52%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

