Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Alexander Bernhardsson
Nelson Weiper 75' 1–1
Philipp Mwene 33' Y
Y 44' David Zec
Y 51' Nicolai Remberg
Moritz Jenz 84' Y
Y 85' Timo Becker
Nadiem Amiri 90' Y
Y 90' Lasse Rosenboom

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
  • 5' Thomas Dahne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Holstein Kiel have won 180 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Phil Harres made 3 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a card for Philipp Mwene.
  • 34' Alexander Bernhardsson adds to his 3 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. David Zec will be fuming at that decision.
  • 49' Shuto Machino needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolai Remberg on 51.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 66' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Anthony Caci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 68 minute. Philipp Mwene leaves to be changed by Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' A goal from the Germany international Nelson Weiper! He fires home on 75 to make it 1-1!
  • 75' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace John Tolkin by Finn Porath on 75 minute.
  • 80' Moritz Jenz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 82' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 82 minute. Armin Gigovic leaves to be changed by Lewis Holtby.
  • 83' The whistle greets Jonathan Burkardt as he departs to be replaced by Armindo Sieb.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Moritz Jenz.
  • 85' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nadiem Amiri gets a card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Nadiem Amiri as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Holstein Kiel. Honours even.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jae-sung Lee 1
Nelson Weiper 1
Alexander Bernhardsson 1
Jonathan Burkardt 1
Nadiem Amiri 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-29 Holstein Kiel 0–3 SV Werder Bremen L 2025-03-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2025-02-22 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw27% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw48% Holstein Kiel18%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.