1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D 30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L 15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D 07 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W 01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W 22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D 29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L 16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L 08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D 02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W 22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' Steven Skrzybski needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 33' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 33.
- 34' What a strike from Alexander Bernhardsson! The score is 0-1.
- 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kaishu Sano suffering a number of foals already.
- 44' David Zec was booked on 44.
- 49' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolai Remberg.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 68' Nikolas Veratschnig has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Mwene on 68 minute.
- 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' GOAL! Nelson Weiper scores on 75. Assisted by Paul Nebel
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Finn Porath. He replaces John Tolkin on 75 minute.
- 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 82' The whistle greets Armin Gigovic as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Holtby.
- 83' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 83 minute.
- 84' Moritz Jenz is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Timo Becker on 85.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Nadiem Amiri.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Hyun-seok Hong. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 90 minute.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 2
- 27
- 29
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18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 90'
- 21
- 8
- 25
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nelson Weiper 68'
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 15
- 30
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 83'
- 1
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44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 68'
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14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 90'
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22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 68'
Coach Bo HenriksenHolstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Phil Harres 75'
- 18
- 17
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47
John Tolkin ↓ Finn Porath 75'
- 3
- 21
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37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 82'
- 22
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
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10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 82'
- 20
- 31
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24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 68'
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8
Finn Porath ↑ 75'
- 14
- 5
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19
Phil Harres ↑ 75'
- 6
Coach Marcel Rapp -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Nadiem Amiri 1 Jae-sung Lee 1 Nelson Weiper 1 Alexander Bernhardsson 1 Jonathan Burkardt 1 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Holstein Kiel Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.97 Holstein Kiel xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.49Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 71% 29% ± 2.5 45% 55% ± 3.5 24% 76% ± 4.5 11% 89% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 77%Draw or Holstein Kiel 50%1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual1 – 0 11.6%0 – 0 10.4%2 – 0 9.3%2 – 1 9%0 – 1 7%1 – 2 5.7%3 – 0 4.7%3 – 1 4.6%2 – 2 4.4%0 – 2 3.8%3 – 2 2.3%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 15% 75% -1.5 25% — 75% -1 25% 23% 51% -0.5 49% — 51% +0.5 77% — 23% +1 77% 14% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 6% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 39% ✓Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.