Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Alexander Bernhardsson
Nelson Weiper 75' 1–1
Philipp Mwene 33' Y
Y 44' David Zec
Y 51' Nicolai Remberg
Moritz Jenz 84' Y
Y 85' Timo Becker
Nadiem Amiri 90' Y
Y 90' Lasse Rosenboom

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to MEWA Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Philipp Mwene has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 436 appearances.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Philipp Mwene. He receives a card.
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Alexander Bernhardsson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' David Zec has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' Japan international Kaishu Sano has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Philipp Mwene as he leaves the pitch. Nikolas Veratschnig steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 73' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 75' Nelson Weiper is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the centre-forward.
  • 75' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 75 minute. John Tolkin leaves to be changed by Finn Porath.
  • 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Armin Gigovic as he leaves the pitch. Lewis Holtby steps in for Holstein Kiel.
  • 83' Jonathan Burkardt makes way for Armindo Sieb at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moritz Jenz on 84.
  • 85' Timo Becker picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Nadiem Amiri picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Nadiem Amiri has done his job and it is now time for Hyun-seok Hong to step up.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nelson Weiper 1
Alexander Bernhardsson 1
Jonathan Burkardt 1
Nadiem Amiri 1
Jae-sung Lee 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-29 Holstein Kiel 0–3 SV Werder Bremen L 2025-03-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2025-02-22 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw27% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw48% Holstein Kiel18%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.