Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Fri 20 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

3
3
3
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Köln A 1–2 L
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Hamburger SV
#6 Position #16
7 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 2
6 Conceded 13
+4 GD -11
1.75 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phillip Tietz 2
Philipp Mwene 1
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1
Sheraldo Becker 1

Head to Head

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Hamburger SV Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2026-01-17 Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.98 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0570% Draw17% Hamburger SV13%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
87%
Draw or Hamburger SV
30%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0561% Draw32% Hamburger SV7%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
3 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.7%
4 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
5.8%
5 – 0
4.6%
5 – 1
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 41% — 59%
-2 41% 21% 38%
-1.5 62% — 38%
-1 62% 19% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 94% — 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
48% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.