Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Fri 20 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

3
3
3
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Köln A 1–2 L
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Hamburger SV
#12 Position #11
10 Points 12
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 5
18 Scored 10
19 Conceded 20
-1 GD -10
1.11 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 44%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome Hamburger SV for this crunch clash at .
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phillip Tietz 2
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1
Sheraldo Becker 1
Philipp Mwene 1

Head to Head

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Hamburger SV Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2026-01-17 Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.99 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0551% Draw25% Hamburger SV24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
76%
Draw or Hamburger SV
49%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw42% Hamburger SV18%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.