Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Western United FC

Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 03:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Sebastian Pasquali

Y 90' Angus Thurgate

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC 2023-12-02 Western United FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-11-13 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Western United FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Western United FC	H	1–1	D
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
12 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–0	D
27 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	3–0	W
19 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
21 Apr	Perth Glory FC	A	4–3	W
16 Apr	Adelaide United FC	H	3–3	D
13 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–2	L
06 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	4–2	W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wellington Phoenix FC to score. At the same time, Western United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' Western United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' Oliver Lavale has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
35' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' The referee calls foul for Sebastian Pasquali. He receives a card.
47' GOAL! Kosta Barbarouses scores on 45. Assisted by Alex Rufer
52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matthew Sutton suffering a number of foals already.
62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
67' Noah Botic is replacing Hiroshi Ibusuki for the Western United FC side.
71' The whistle greets Sebastian Pasquali as he departs to be replaced by Rhys Bozinovski.
72' Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Ball is hanging Hideki Ishige on the field on 72 minute.
76' Goal! Angus Thurgate scores his 16 goal in 206 matches.
81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
83' The supporters are chanting for Jake Najdovski. He replaces Matt Sheridan on 83 minute.
88' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Charbel Shamoon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' Western United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Matthew Sutton
32
Angus Thurgate
13
Tate Russell
6
Tomoki Imai
4
James Donachie
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Noah Botic 67'
77
Riku Danzaki ↓ Abel Walatee 71'
21
Sebastian Pasquali ↓ Rhys Bozinovski 71'
10
Matthew Grimaldi
29
Charbel Shamoon
5
Oliver Lavale

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oskar Zawada	3
Jaushua Sotirio	3
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Matthew Grimaldi	2
Besart Berisha	2
Ben Waine	2
David Ball	2
Ulises Davila	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-27 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Macarthur FC W 2024-04-19 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W

Western United FC Form

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-04-28 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Western United FC L 2024-04-21 Perth Glory FC 3–4 Western United FC W 2024-04-16 Western United FC 3–3 Adelaide United FC D 2024-04-13 Western United FC 0–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-04-06 Western United FC 4–2 Macarthur FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.49 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC47% Draw27% Western United FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Western United FC

53%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Western United FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw48% Western United FC20%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.4%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.