Saturday , 14 November 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 03:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–1 D
28 Apr Melbourne City FC A 0–1 L
21 Apr Perth Glory FC A 4–3 W
16 Apr Adelaide United FC H 3–3 D
13 Apr Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Macarthur FC H 4–2 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Corban Piper 3 G
Riley Bidois 2 G
Nathan Walker 1 G 1 A
Rafael Duran 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Wellington Regional Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Wellington Phoenix FC and Western United FC.
  • 5' Western United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Western United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 211 games and scored 300 goals.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Sebastian Pasquali is booked for Western United FC — card on 45.
  • 47' What a moment for Kosta Barbarouses! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Western United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' Wellington Phoenix FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 67' Western United FC make a change. Hiroshi Ibusuki trudges off to be replaced by Noah Botic on 67 minutes.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Rhys Bozinovski. He replaces Sebastian Pasquali on 71 minute.
  • 72' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Hideki Ishige by David Ball on 72 minute.
  • 76' Brilliant from the ! Angus Thurgate makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 76.
  • 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Western United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 83' Jake Najdovski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matt Sheridan on 83 minute.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' Angus Thurgate picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC47% Draw27% Western United FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Western United FC
53%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw48% Western United FC20%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.