Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Western United FC

Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 03:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Sebastian Pasquali

Y 90' Angus Thurgate

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC 2023-12-02 Western United FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-11-13 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Western United FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Western United FC	H	1–1	D
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
12 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–0	D
27 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	3–0	W
19 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
21 Apr	Perth Glory FC	A	4–3	W
16 Apr	Adelaide United FC	H	3–3	D
13 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–2	L
06 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	4–2	W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Wellington Phoenix FC welcome Western United FC for this crunch clash at Wellington Regional Stadium.
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nathan Walker made 209 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Hideki Ishige needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
20' Fin Conchie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 209 appearances.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
30' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Western United FC's shape.
35' Western United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sebastian Pasquali on 45 minutes.
47' Kosta Barbarouses adds to his 0 season tally! Wellington Phoenix FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
57' Western United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
67' Noah Botic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroshi Ibusuki at the 67 minute mark.
71' Western United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rhys Bozinovski is hanging Sebastian Pasquali on the field on 71 minute.
72' The supporters are chanting for David Ball. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 72 minute.
76' What a moment for Angus Thurgate! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
83' A change in the Western United FC ranks — Matt Sheridan exits the field as Jake Najdovski enters on 83.
88' The 22-year-old Abel Walatee has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Angus Thurgate.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Matthew Sutton
32
Angus Thurgate
13
Tate Russell
6
Tomoki Imai
4
James Donachie
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Noah Botic 67'
77
Riku Danzaki ↓ Abel Walatee 71'
21
Sebastian Pasquali ↓ Rhys Bozinovski 71'
10
Matthew Grimaldi
29
Charbel Shamoon
5
Oliver Lavale

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Oskar Zawada	3
Jaushua Sotirio	3
Matthew Grimaldi	2
Besart Berisha	2
Ben Waine	2
David Ball	2
Ulises Davila	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-27 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Macarthur FC W 2024-04-19 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W

Western United FC Form

2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-04-28 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Western United FC L 2024-04-21 Perth Glory FC 3–4 Western United FC W 2024-04-16 Western United FC 3–3 Adelaide United FC D 2024-04-13 Western United FC 0–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-04-06 Western United FC 4–2 Macarthur FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.49 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC47% Draw27% Western United FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Western United FC

53%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Western United FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw48% Western United FC20%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.4%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.