Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 03:30 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–1 L
12 Nov Macarthur FC H 3–3 D
03 Nov Sydney FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Adelaide United FC A 0–6 L
21 Oct Western United FC H 1–2 L
19 May Sydney FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne City FC
#8 Position #6
33 Points 38
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +0
1.27 PPG 1.46
35% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC49% Draw25% Melbourne City FC26%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
51%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC35% Draw43% Melbourne City FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.