Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Melbourne City FC H 6–2 W
18 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
10 Jan Sydney FC H 0–3 L
05 Jan Auckland FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC A 5–4 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–6 L
16 Jan Auckland FC H 2–1 W
11 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–1 L
06 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
03 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D
28 Dec Perth Glory FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne City FC
#7 Position #6
34 Points 38
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
37 Scored 33
44 Conceded 33
-7 GD +0
1.31 PPG 1.46
35% Win % 38%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC58% Draw20% Melbourne City FC22%
Actual: Macarthur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
42%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne City FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC44% Draw36% Melbourne City FC20%
Actual: Macarthur FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.