Thursday , 1 October 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 08:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–0 W
01 Mar Macarthur FC A 0–2 L
24 Feb Sydney FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 0–0 D
10 Feb Brisbane Roar FC A 1–5 L
02 Feb Perth Glory FC A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Melbourne City FC A 0–1 L
03 Mar Adelaide United FC H 3–2 W
24 Feb Perth Glory FC A 0–0 D
18 Feb Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
10 Feb Western United FC H 2–0 W
06 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#6 Position #8
38 Points 33
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
33 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+0 GD -12
1.46 PPG 1.27
38% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC51% Draw27% Wellington Phoenix FC22%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
49%
Melbourne City FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC36% Draw49% Wellington Phoenix FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.