Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Tue 6 Jan 2026 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
03 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D
28 Dec Perth Glory FC H 1–3 L
23 Dec Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Melbourne Victory FC H 0–1 L
06 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Brisbane Roar FC
#6 Position #11
38 Points 26
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
33 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+0 GD -9
1.46 PPG 1.00
38% Win % 23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC50% Draw29% Brisbane Roar FC21%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
50%
Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC31% Draw52% Brisbane Roar FC17%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.