Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 04:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Bozhidar Kraev 33' Y

Oskar Zawada 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Jack Morgan

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-04-16 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-01-14 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-03-30 Brisbane Roar FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-03-12 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	2–1	W
22 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–0	D
05 May	Adelaide United FC	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–4	L

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–5	L
27 Oct	Sydney FC	H	3–0	W
21 Oct	Macarthur FC	A	1–1	D
29 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–0	W
24 Apr	Sydney FC	H	0–2	L
16 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#8	Position	#11
33	Points	26
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
36	Scored	27
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.00
35%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Wellington Phoenix FC host Brisbane Roar FC — let the battle begin!
1' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Florin Berenguer makes it 0-1.
6' Brisbane Roar FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
16' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brisbane Roar FC's shape.
21' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brisbane Roar FC backline.
24' A goal from the New Zealand international Tim Payne! He fires home on 24 to make it 1-1!
29' Brisbane Roar FC have won 245 goals from 205 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
32' Oskar Zawada makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Wellington Phoenix FC are in front.
33' That looks like a foul for a card for Bozhidar Kraev.
38' Brisbane Roar FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Wellington Phoenix FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' Another change for Brisbane Roar FC made on 46 minute. Kai Trewin leaves to be changed by Aaron Reardon.
51' The 35-year-old Tom Aldred has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
53' Nikola Mileusnic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Brisbane Roar FC are in front.
56' Ben Old has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohamed Al-Taay on 56 minute.
58' Bozhidar Kraev is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
63' A goal from the Poland international Oskar Zawada! He fires home on 63 to make it 4-2!
64' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Henry Hore is replaced by Carlo Armiento.
69' Mohamed Al-Taay needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
73' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Thomas Waddingham departs to be replaced by Rylan Brownlie.
78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
79' Brisbane Roar FC ring the changes. Florin Berenguer has done his job and it is now time for Jonas Markovski to step up.
80' The referee has no hesitation. Oskar Zawada is booked for Wellington Phoenix FC — card on 80.
85' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
86' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Isaac Hughes comes on to replace Kosta Barbarouses.
The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 5-2 Brisbane Roar FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
David Ball
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 79'
8
Ben Old ↑ 56'
52
Jackson Manuel
26
Isaac Hughes ↑ 86'
42
Fergus Gillion

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Joe Caletti ↓ Taras Gomulka 79'
2
Scott Neville
10
Nikola Mileusnic
5
Tom Aldred
7
Florin Berenguer ↓ Jonas Markovski 79'
1
Macklin Freke
27
Kai Trewin ↓ Aaron Reardon 46'
13
Henry Hore ↓ Carlo Armiento 64'
35
Louis Zabala
26
Jay O'Shea
15
Thomas Waddingham ↓ Rylan Brownlie 73'

Bench

23
Aaron Reardon ↑ 46'
17
Carlo Armiento ↑ 64'
12
Taras Gomulka ↑ 79'
32
James Nikolovski
29
Matthew Acton
14
Rylan Brownlie ↑ 73'
8
Jonas Markovski ↑ 79'

Coach Ross Aloisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oskar Zawada	6
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Henry Hore	2
Florin Berenguer	2
Gary Hooper	2
Steven Taylor	2
Eric Bautheac	2
Dylan Wenzel-Halls	1

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-10-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Perth Glory FC W 2023-10-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-04-29 Macarthur FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-04-21 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-10-27 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Sydney FC W 2023-10-21 Macarthur FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-04-24 Brisbane Roar FC 0–2 Sydney FC L 2023-04-16 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.2 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC56% Draw22% Brisbane Roar FC22%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

44%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC41% Draw39% Brisbane Roar FC20%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

5.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.