Brisbane Roar FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Brisbane Roar FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Harry Van der Saag 5' Y

Keegan Jelacic 52' Y

Hosine Bility 69' Y

Y 69' Alfie McCalmont

Y 78' Ryan Edmondson

Lucas Herrington 79' Y

Ben Halloran 81' Y

Y 86' Dylan Peraic-Cullen

Hosine Bility 89' YR

Y 90' Diesel Herrington

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 20 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-01-27 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–3 Central Coast Mariners FC 2023-11-12 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-04-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
29 Dec	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
14 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D
06 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–4	L
30 Nov	Macarthur FC	A	4–4	D

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–1	W
31 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
28 Dec	Auckland FC	H	1–4	L
23 Dec	Macarthur FC	A	1–1	D
13 Dec	Adelaide United FC	H	0–4	L
08 Dec	Sydney FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#11	Position	#9
26	Points	32
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
27	Scored	35
36	Conceded	42
-9	GD	-7
1.00	PPG	1.23
23%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Central Coast Mariners FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sabit James	6 G	2 A
Ali Auglah	5 G
Bailey Brandtman	4 G	2 A
Alfie McCalmont	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Brisbane Roar FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — let the football do the talking.
5' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Harry Van der Saag.
10' A quiet spell here at Suncorp Stadium. Central Coast Mariners FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
11' Against the run of play, Walid Shour has scored! This game has turned on its head.
16' Christian Theoharous needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
21' Central Coast Mariners FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
31' Brisbane Roar FC have won 245 goals from 205 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
36' Arthur De Lima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
41' It looks like no one’s ball. Central Coast Mariners FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' Jacob Brazete gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Walid Shour and will look to change the dynamic.
47' Corey Brown has so much to prove this time. He replaces Harry Van der Saag on 47 minute.
52' Brisbane Roar FC player sees a card in front of him.
55' The Central Coast Mariners FC bench stirs into life. Christian Theoharous is withdrawn and Vitor Feijao gets his opportunity.
60' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
64' Adam Zimarino gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Florin Berenguer and will look to change the dynamic.
65' It is a substitution in Central Coast Mariners FC team. Alou Kuol is replaced by Ryan Edmondson on 65 minute.
69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hosine Bility on 69.
71' Assisted by Corey Brown with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ben Halloran makes no mistake. 2-0!
76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryan Edmondson.
79' Brisbane Roar FC player sees a card in front of him.
81' Harrison Steele adds to his 0 season tally! Central Coast Mariners FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
81' The referee calls foul for Ben Halloran. He receives a card.
82' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Halloran departs to be replaced by Rafael Struick.
86' It’s gonna be a card for Dylan Peraic-Cullen.
86' Louis Zabala is replacing Antonee Burke-Gilroy for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
87' The Central Coast Mariners FC bench stirs into life. Storm Roux is withdrawn and Arthur De Lima gets his opportunity.
89' It’s gonna be a card for Hosine Bility.
90' Poor challenge from Diesel Herrington. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Central Coast Mariners FC take all three points.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Ben Halloran ↓ Rafael Struick 82'
10
Florin Berenguer ↓ Adam Zimarino 64'
1
Macklin Freke
17
Harry Van der Saag ↓ Corey Brown 47'
23
Keegan Jelacic
15
Hosine Bility
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↓ Louis Zabala 86'
26
Jay O'Shea
16
Thomas Waddingham
8
Walid Shour ↓ Jacob Brazete 46'
12
Lucas Herrington

Bench

3
Corey Brown ↑ 47'
2
Scott Neville
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 86'
7
Rafael Struick ↑ 82'
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 64'
29
Matthew Acton
18
Jacob Brazete ↑ 46'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Trent Sainsbury ↓ Diesel Herrington 65'
15
Storm Roux ↓ Arthur De Lima 87'
8
Alfie McCalmont
7
Christian Theoharous ↓ Vitor Feijao 55'
9
Alou Kuol ↓ Ryan Edmondson 65'
16
Harrison Steele
40
Dylan Peraic-Cullen
33
Nathan Paull
10
Mikael Doka
3
Brian Kaltak
28
William Wilson ↓ Bailey Brandtman 55'

Bench

99
Ryan Edmondson ↑ 65'
1
Adam Pavlesic
24
Diesel Herrington ↑ 65'
37
Bailey Brandtman ↑ 55'
36
Haine Eames
35
Arthur De Lima ↑ 87'
11
Vitor Feijao ↑ 55'

Coach Mark Jackson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Tulio	3
Miguel Angel Torres	3
Samuel Klein	3
Beni Nkololo	3
James O'Shea	3
Jason Cummings	2
Eric Bautheac	2
Joshua Nisbet	2

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-12-21 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC L 2024-11-30 Macarthur FC 4–4 Brisbane Roar FC D

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–4 Auckland FC L 2024-12-23 Macarthur FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Adelaide United FC L 2024-12-08 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.1 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC24% Draw25% Central Coast Mariners FC51%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

49%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

76%

Brisbane Roar FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC17% Draw43% Central Coast Mariners FC40%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

0 – 0

6.6%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

5.5%

2 – 1

5.5%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 0

4.6%

2 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	12%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	22%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	17%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.