Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Western United FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Perth Glory FC H 0–1 L
14 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
06 Dec Melbourne City FC H 1–4 L
30 Nov Macarthur FC A 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 3–1 W
31 Dec Melbourne City FC H 1–1 D
28 Dec Auckland FC H 1–4 L
23 Dec Macarthur FC A 1–1 D
13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 0–4 L
08 Dec Sydney FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#11 Position #9
26 Points 32
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
27 Scored 35
36 Conceded 42
-9 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.23
23% Win % 31%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC24% Draw25% Central Coast Mariners FC51%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
76%
Brisbane Roar FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brisbane Roar FC17% Draw43% Central Coast Mariners FC40%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.