Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Leicester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #11 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | -2 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Swansea City AFC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Ken Sema is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vakoun Issouf Bayo suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' It’s high time Valerien Ismael made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' Ryan Andrews adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' Josh Tymon is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
- 36' It’s gonna be a card for Nathan Wood-Gordon.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martyn Margetson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as Giorgi Chakvetadze enters on 43.
- 45' The referee shows Watford FC player a card on 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jake Livermore is replaced by Ismael Kone on 46 minute.
- 51' Josh Tymon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' What a strike from Wesley Hoedt! The score is 2-0.
- 60' Jerry Yates makes way for Jamal Lowe at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
- 65' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Andrews.
- 70' The crowd applauds Harry Darling as he leaves the pitch. Kyle Naughton steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 74' The crowd applauds Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he leaves the pitch. Mileta Rajovic steps in for Watford FC.
- 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 81' Charlie Patino gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Ronald and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Ryan Porteous has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Giorgi Chakvetadze 43'
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
- 4
- 6
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 24
- 18
- 45
Bench
- 26
- 7
- 3
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 43'
- 15
- 37
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 74'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Liam Cullen 60'
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Joe Allen 70'
- 8
- 23
-
9
Jerry Yates ↓ Jamal Lowe 60'
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Kyle Naughton 70'
- 5
- 14
- 17
- 22
-
35
Ronald ↓ Charlie Patino 81'
Bench
-
10
Jamal Lowe ↑ 60'
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 70'
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 70'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 60'
- 1
- 2
- 31
- 47
-
18
Charlie Patino ↑ 81'
Coach
Martyn Margetson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
67%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

