Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Leicester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #6 |
| 15 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 18 |
| -10 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Watford FC to score. At the same time, Swansea City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamie Paterson made 402 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 18' What a moment for Ryan Andrews! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
- 23' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 28' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Josh Tymon argues furiously but the card stands.
- 36' That is a card for Swansea City AFC. Nathan Wood-Gordon will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' Ken Sema makes way for Giorgi Chakvetadze at the 43 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 45' Poor challenge from Giorgi Chakvetadze. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jake Livermore is replaced by Ismael Kone on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
- 56' Sweden international Ken Sema has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' What composure from Wesley Hoedt! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 60' The whistle greets Jerry Yates as he departs to be replaced by Jamal Lowe.
- 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryan Andrews.
- 70' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Harry Darling is withdrawn and Kyle Naughton gets his opportunity.
- 74' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is withdrawn and Mileta Rajovic gets his opportunity.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Ronald by Charlie Patino on 81 minute.
- 83' Ryan Porteous was booked on 83.
- 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emmanuel Dennis is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Giorgi Chakvetadze 43'
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
- 4
- 6
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 24
- 18
- 45
Bench
- 26
- 7
- 3
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 43'
- 15
- 37
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 74'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Liam Cullen 60'
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Joe Allen 70'
- 8
- 23
-
9
Jerry Yates ↓ Jamal Lowe 60'
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Kyle Naughton 70'
- 5
- 14
- 17
- 22
-
35
Ronald ↓ Charlie Patino 81'
Bench
-
10
Jamal Lowe ↑ 60'
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 70'
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 70'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 60'
- 1
- 2
- 31
- 47
-
18
Charlie Patino ↑ 81'
Coach
Martyn Margetson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.89
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
73%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

