Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 64 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 53 |
| 59 | Conceded | 65 |
| -2 | GD | -12 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 39% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Watford FC get us underway at Swansea.com Stadium.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Swansea City AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jake Livermore on 30.
- 35' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Watford FC have won 391 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Ken Sema has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Martins on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Oliver Cooper on, Jamie Paterson off on 61 minutes.
- 62' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 62 minute.
- 67' It is a cagey affair so far. Swansea City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 72' It’s high time Michael Duff made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Wesley Hoedt.
- 78' Austria international Daniel Bachmann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 79' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Harrison Ashby by Liam Walsh on 79 minute.
- 82' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Giorgi Chakvetadze is hanging Ismael Kone on the field on 82 minute.
- 82' The Sweden Ken Sema breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 0-1!
- 86' That is a Yellow card for Watford FC. Edo Kayembe will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Matthew Pollock comes on to replace Jamal Lewis.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Oliver Cooper 61'
- 4
- 8
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Josh Tymon 62'
- 3
- 9
- 6
-
30
Harrison Ashby ↓ Liam Walsh 79'
- 22
- 33
Bench
-
28
Liam Walsh ↑ 79'
- 26
- 1
-
14
Josh Tymon ↑ 62'
- 21
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 61'
- 18
- 45
- 41
Coach
Michael Duff
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
- 7
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ Matthew Pollock 90'
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
- 2
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Ken Sema 46'
- 11
Bench
- 14
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 46'
- 26
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 82'
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↑ 90'
- 10
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 62'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 62'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Isaac Success | 1 |
| Jules Ntcham | 1 |
| Benjamin Cabango | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2023-10-24
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2023-10-21
Swansea City AFC
1–3
Leicester City FC
L
2023-10-07
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2023-10-04
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Norwich City FC
W
2023-09-30
Millwall FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2023-09-23
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Draw 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Watford FC
55%
Swansea City AFC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

