Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #20 |
| 17 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 10 |
| +7 | GD | -3 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Swansea City AFC and Watford FC get this one started.
- 5' Harrison Ashby has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francisco Sierralta suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Jeremy Ngakia has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jake Livermore.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Ken Sema. He replaces Matheus Martins on 46 minute.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Jamie Paterson exits the field as Oliver Cooper enters on 61.
- 62' The crowd applauds Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he leaves the pitch. Yaser Asprilla steps in for Watford FC.
- 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Swansea City AFC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ismael Kone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 73' A moment of madness from Wesley Hoedt on 73 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Swansea City AFC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 79' Liam Walsh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Harrison Ashby on 79 minute.
- 82' The whistle greets Ismael Kone as he departs to be replaced by Giorgi Chakvetadze.
- 82' Brilliant from the ! Ken Sema makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 82.
- 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Edo Kayembe.
- 90' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jamal Lewis is replaced by Matthew Pollock.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Watford FC take all three points.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Oliver Cooper 61'
- 4
- 8
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Josh Tymon 62'
- 3
- 9
- 6
-
30
Harrison Ashby ↓ Liam Walsh 79'
- 22
- 33
Bench
-
28
Liam Walsh ↑ 79'
- 26
- 1
-
14
Josh Tymon ↑ 62'
- 21
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 61'
- 18
- 45
- 41
Coach
Michael Duff
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
- 7
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ Matthew Pollock 90'
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
- 2
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Ken Sema 46'
- 11
Bench
- 14
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 46'
- 26
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 82'
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↑ 90'
- 10
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 62'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 62'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Benjamin Cabango | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2023-10-24
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2023-10-21
Swansea City AFC
1–3
Leicester City FC
L
2023-10-07
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2023-10-04
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Norwich City FC
W
2023-09-30
Millwall FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2023-09-23
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
79%
Draw or Watford FC
49%
Swansea City AFC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
48%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

