Saturday , 14 November 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 19 May 2024 · 17:00 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Arda Guler
0–2 30' Joselu
Alexander Sorloth 39' 1–2
1–3 40' Lucas Vazquez
1–4 45+2' Arda Guler
Alexander Sorloth 48' 2–4
Alexander Sorloth 52' 3–4
Alexander Sorloth 56' 4–4

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Diego Sanchez Rojo (Spain)
10 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May Real Madrid CF H 4–4 D
14 May Girona FC A 1–0 W
11 May Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
05 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–3 L
28 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
21 Apr UD Almeria A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D
14 May Deportivo Alavés H 5–0 W
11 May Granada CF A 4–0 W
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
04 May Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#9 Position #2
15 Points 30
12 Played 12
4 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 2
17 Scored 31
15 Conceded 10
+2 GD +21
1.25 PPG 2.50
33% Win % 83%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Villarreal CF are 9th (15 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Villarreal CF
Georges Mikautadze 3 G 1 A
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 4 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G 1 A
Gerard Moreno 2 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.47 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF33% Draw22% Real Madrid CF45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
55%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF24% Draw36% Real Madrid CF40%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.4%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 19% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 15% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.