Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 19 May 2024 · 17:00 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Arda Guler
0–2 30' Joselu
Alexander Sorloth 39' 1–2
1–3 40' Lucas Vazquez
1–4 45+2' Arda Guler
Alexander Sorloth 48' 2–4
Alexander Sorloth 52' 3–4
Alexander Sorloth 56' 4–4

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Diego Sanchez Rojo (Spain)
12 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May Real Madrid CF H 4–4 D
14 May Girona FC A 1–0 W
11 May Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
05 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–3 L
28 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
21 Apr UD Almeria A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D
14 May Deportivo Alaves H 5–0 W
11 May Granada CF A 4–0 W
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
04 May Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#3 Position #2
72 Points 86
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
72 Scored 77
46 Conceded 35
+26 GD +42
1.89 PPG 2.26
58% Win % 71%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF39% Draw22% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
61%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
61%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF29% Draw36% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
11%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.