Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 8 Apr 2023 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Teodoro Sobrino
  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Referee David Medie
  • Referee Ivan Hernandez
  • Referee Alberto Fuente Martin
  • Referee Javier Iglesias

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Villarreal CF H 2–3 L
02 Apr Real Valladolid CF H 6–0 W
19 Mar FC Barcelona A 1–2 L
15 Mar Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
11 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 3–1 W
05 Mar Real Betis Balompié A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Real Madrid CF A 3–2 W
02 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–0 W
19 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–0 W
12 Mar Real Betis Balompié H 1–1 D
04 Mar UD Almeria A 2–0 W
27 Feb Getafe CF H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#4 Position #11
15 Points 8
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 13
8 Conceded 12
+10 GD +1
2.14 PPG 1.14
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Villarreal CF
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 3 A
Georges Mikautadze 2 G 1 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.5 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF50% Draw23% Villarreal CF27%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
72%
Draw or Villarreal CF
50%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF44% Draw36% Villarreal CF20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.