Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 8 Apr 2023 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Teodoro Sobrino
  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Referee David Medie
  • Referee Ivan Hernandez
  • Referee Alberto Fuente Martin
  • Referee Javier Iglesias

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Villarreal CF H 2–3 L
02 Apr Real Valladolid CF H 6–0 W
19 Mar FC Barcelona A 1–2 L
15 Mar Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
11 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 3–1 W
05 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Real Madrid CF A 3–2 W
02 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–0 W
19 Mar CA Osasuna A 3–0 W
12 Mar Real Betis Balompie H 1–1 D
04 Mar UD Almeria A 2–0 W
27 Feb Getafe CF H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#2 Position #3
86 Points 72
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
77 Scored 72
35 Conceded 46
+42 GD +26
2.26 PPG 1.89
71% Win % 58%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF42% Draw26% Villarreal CF32%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
67%
Draw or Villarreal CF
58%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF35% Draw41% Villarreal CF24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
23%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.