Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Villarreal CF 38 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jorge Figueroa Vazquez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Villarreal CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Dec | Real Betis Balompie | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Dec | Granada CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | SSC Napoli | H | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cadiz CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Dec | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Dec | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Dec | Maccabi Haifa FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sevilla FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Panathinaikos AO | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Villarreal CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 86 | Points | 72 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 22 / 6 / 10 |
| 77 | Scored | 72 |
| 35 | Conceded | 46 |
| +42 | GD | +26 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.89 |
| 71% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Villarreal CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Villarreal CF that had 407 games and scored 555 goals.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Jude Bellingham has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
- 28' RamonTerrats Espacio is replacing Alex Baena for the Villarreal CF side.
- 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Real Madrid CF make a change. David Alaba trudges off to be replaced by Nacho on 34 minutes.
- 38' Rodrygo does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jorge Cuenca, as he is very good at scoring at Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Cuenca. He replaces Raul Albiol on 46 minute.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' The Spain Jose Morales breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 2-1!
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Brahim Diaz makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 65.
- 68' Poor challenge from Jude Bellingham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Luka Modric gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 75' Trigueros is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilias Akhomach at the 75 minute mark.
- 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ilias Akhomach.
- 78' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Jude Bellingham exits the field as Dani Ceballos enters on 78.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Aurelien Tchouameni on 83 minutes.
- 85' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Brahim Diaz departs to be replaced by Joselu.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Etienne Capoue.
- 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Joselu 85'
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 46'
-
4
David Alaba ↓ Nacho 34'
- 13
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 15
- 11
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Dani Ceballos 78'
Bench
- 25
-
14
Joselu ↑ 85'
-
18
Aurelien Tchouameni ↑ 78'
-
6
Nacho ↑ 34'
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 78'
- 39
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 46'
- 32
- 36
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 23
- 24
- 7
- 13
-
27
Ilias Akhomach ↓ Trigueros 75'
- 16
-
3
Raul Albiol ↓ Jorge Cuenca 46'
- 15
- 26
Bench
- 18
-
11
Alexander Sorloth ↑ 46'
- 9
-
14
Trigueros ↑ 75'
- 1
-
5
Jorge Cuenca ↑ 46'
-
20
RamonTerrats Espacio ↑ 28'
- 17
Coach
Marcelino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 7 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 4 |
| Gerard Moreno | 4 |
| Mariano Diaz | 3 |
| Yeremi Pino | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Santi Cazorla | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Villarreal CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Villarreal CF
42%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Villarreal CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

