Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 17 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Jude Bellingham 25' 1–0
Rodrygo 38' 2–0
2–1 55' Jose Morales
Brahim Diaz 65' 3–1
Luka Modric 69' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jorge Figueroa Vazquez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Villarreal CF H 4–1 W
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Betis Balompie A 1–1 D
02 Dec Granada CF H 2–0 W
29 Nov SSC Napoli H 4–2 W
26 Nov Cadiz CF A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
14 Dec Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–3 L
06 Dec Maccabi Haifa FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Panathinaikos AO H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#2 Position #3
86 Points 72
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
77 Scored 72
35 Conceded 46
+42 GD +26
2.26 PPG 1.89
71% Win % 58%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Villarreal CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Villarreal CF that had 407 games and scored 555 goals.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Jude Bellingham has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
  • 28' RamonTerrats Espacio is replacing Alex Baena for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' Real Madrid CF make a change. David Alaba trudges off to be replaced by Nacho on 34 minutes.
  • 38' Rodrygo does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jorge Cuenca, as he is very good at scoring at Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Cuenca. He replaces Raul Albiol on 46 minute.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' The Spain Jose Morales breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 2-1!
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Brahim Diaz makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Jude Bellingham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Luka Modric gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 74' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 75' Trigueros is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilias Akhomach at the 75 minute mark.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ilias Akhomach.
  • 78' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Jude Bellingham exits the field as Dani Ceballos enters on 78.
  • 83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Aurelien Tchouameni on 83 minutes.
  • 85' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Brahim Diaz departs to be replaced by Joselu.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Etienne Capoue.
  • 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF58% Draw22% Villarreal CF20%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Villarreal CF
42%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF43% Draw39% Villarreal CF18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
28%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.