VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at MHPArena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Eric Muller
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
9 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 11.1 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | FC Porto | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 10 |
| 15 | Conceded | 20 |
| +0 | GD | -10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
Hamburger SV
| Miro Muheim | 3 G | 1 A |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV get this one started.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hamburger SV backline.
- 15' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 22' Magnificent from Angelo Stiller! That is 11 goals in 551 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Chema Andres on 24 minutes.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Hamburger SV's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 32' A stunning finish from Chris Fuhrich — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 42' Fabio Vieira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 47' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 52' It’s high time Merlin Polzin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' GOAL! Maximilian Mittelstadt scores on 56. Assisted by Chris Fuhrich
- 60' Otto Stange is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rayan Philippe at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 70' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Ermedin Demirovic departs to be replaced by Tiago Tomas.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Capaldo. He replaces Daniel Elfadli on 72 minute.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 276 games and scored 213 goals.
- 80' Poor challenge from Nicolas Capaldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Otto Stange is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hamburger SV.
- 86' Bilal El Khannouss has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
- 88' Jeremy gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Deniz Undav and will look to change the dynamic.
- Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats Hamburger SV
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↓ Tiago Tomas 70'
- 7
- 33
- 10
- 18
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Jeremy 88'
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
30
Chema Andres ↓ Nikolas Nartey 70'
Bench
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 88'
- 23
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 70'
- 1
-
8
Tiago Tomas ↑ 70'
-
11
Bilal El Khannouss ↑ 70'
- 14
-
25
Jeremy ↑ 88'
- 29
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↓ Otto Stange 60'
- 11
- 20
- 23
- 17
- 2
- 21
- 8
- 45
Bench
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↑ 60'
-
24
Nicolas Capaldo ↑ 72'
- 3
- 27
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 72'
- 19
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 60'
- 40
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Aaron Hunt | 1 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
| Hamadi Al Ghaddioui | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 1 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 1 |
| Angelo Stiller | 1 |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 |
| Miro Muheim | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + VfB Stuttgart to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
84%
Draw or Hamburger SV
37%
VfB Stuttgart or Hamburger SV
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

