Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Michael Emmer
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
09 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
05 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–0 W
01 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
11 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
08 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
18 Mar 1. FC Koln H 6–1 W
11 Mar FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#4 Position #2
62 Points 73
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
71 Scored 70
49 Conceded 34
+22 GD +36
1.82 PPG 2.15
53% Win % 65%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund43%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
57%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
67%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw38% Borussia Dortmund36%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 3
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
13%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.