Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Michael Emmer
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
09 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
05 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 1–0 W
01 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
11 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
08 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
18 Mar 1. FC Köln H 6–1 W
11 Mar FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#15 Position #1
3 Points 12
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
6 Scored 9
9 Conceded 2
-3 GD +7
0.75 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart22% Draw22% Borussia Dortmund56%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
45%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
78%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart15% Draw37% Borussia Dortmund48%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 3
6.2%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 4
3.9%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 21% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 19% 25%
+2.5 75% — 25%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.