Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union Berlin, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 31 Oct 2023 · 17:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union BerlinDFB-Pokal at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
30 Sep 1. FC Koln A 2–0 W
22 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
28 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–2 L
24 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
21 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
07 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 2–4 L
03 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–3 L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart53% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin21%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
47%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FC Union Berlin
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw48% 1. FC Union Berlin19%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
37%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.