Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
20 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Koln H 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D
06 Dec FC Augsburg A 0–2 L
02 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–1 W
20 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–0 D
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 4–0 W
11 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 4–1 W
06 Dec FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
03 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart
#6 Position #4
59 Points 62
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
68 Scored 71
47 Conceded 49
+21 GD +22
1.74 PPG 1.82
50% Win % 53%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or VfB Stuttgart 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen33% Draw24% VfB Stuttgart43%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
56%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
67%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or VfB Stuttgart
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen25% Draw38% VfB Stuttgart37%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
12%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.