Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Elche CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Martinez Valero 27,795 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Cepeda 73' 1–0
Buba 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Elche CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio Martinez Valero.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Ivan Masso Granado
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Valencia CF H 1–0 W
03 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–1 L
21 Mar RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
14 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
08 Mar Villarreal CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Elche CF A 0–1 L
05 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 2–3 L
21 Mar Sevilla FC A 2–0 W
14 Mar Real Oviedo A 0–1 L
08 Mar Deportivo Alavés H 3–2 W
01 Mar CA Osasuna H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Elche CF Valencia CF
#18 Position #19
5 Points 4
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
11 Scored 4
17 Conceded 13
-6 GD -9
0.71 PPG 0.57
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Elche CF this season
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Elche CF are 18th (5 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Elche CF
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Elche CF
Fer Nino 5 G
Buba 1 G
Marc Aguado 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio Martinez Valero. Elche CF are looking to make home advantage count against Valencia CF.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Filip Ugrinic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Cesar Tarrega has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 429 appearances.
  • 15' Martim Neto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Elche CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Elche CF in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Valencia CF's compact 4-4-2.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Elche CF and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' It looks surprising Elche CF does not make any changes. Pepelu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' The 39-year-old Matias Dituro has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' Elche CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Thierry Correia, a Portugal defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Buba.
  • 60' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Luis Rioja by Diego Lopez on 60 minute.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Valencia CF! Hugo Duro comes on to replace Umar Sadiq.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! Guido Rodriguez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 64' Alvaro Rodriguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Silva at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' Valencia CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Elche CF! Adria Pedrosa comes on to replace Gonzalo Villar.
  • 73' GOAL! Lucas Cepeda scores on 73. Assisted by Aleix Febas
  • 75' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Eray Comert by Pepelu on 75 minute.
  • 80' Elche CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valencia CF backline.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Arnaut Danjuma on, Lucas Beltran off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Elche CF team. German Valera is replaced by Victor Chust on 82 minute.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • Another three points for Elche CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 Elche CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Elche CF52% Draw27% Valencia CF21%
Actual: Elche CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Elche CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Valencia CF
48%
Elche CF or Valencia CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Elche CF37% Draw47% Valencia CF16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Elche CF

Handicap Elche CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Elche CF keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.