Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 12:00 UTC Estadio de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Sociedad de FútbolLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–3 D
23 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
12 Apr RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L
03 Apr Elche CF H 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
16 Mar Levante UD H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
22 Apr Getafe CF H 0–1 L
11 Apr Deportivo Alaves H 3–3 D
04 Apr Levante UD H 2–0 W
20 Mar Villarreal CF A 1–3 L
15 Mar CA Osasuna H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Sociedad de Fútbol
#8 Position #10
50 Points 46
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 14
41 Scored 59
44 Conceded 61
-3 GD -2
1.32 PPG 1.21
32% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Real Sociedad de Fútbol are 10th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score. At the same time, Real Sociedad de Fútbol does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' It looks surprising Real Sociedad de Fútbol does not make any changes. Carlos Soler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 22' Real Sociedad de Futbol is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mikel Oyarzabal on 22.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Sociedad de Fútbol needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' GOAL! Sergio Camello scores on 30. Assisted by Ilias Akhomach
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takefusa Kubo, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Vallecas with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Sociedad de Fútbol is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Sergio Gomez.
  • 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Pathe Ciss.
  • 54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Real Sociedad de Futbol player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' The whistle greets Takefusa Kubo as he departs to be replaced by Luka Sucic.
  • 61' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Florian Lejeune scoring 1 goals.
  • 63' Real Sociedad de Futbol is taking the lead after the goal scored by Orri Oskarsson on 63.
  • 64' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Diaz is hanging Carlos Martin on the field on 64 minute.
  • 67' The Real Sociedad de Futbol manager makes a substitution. Benat Turrientes departs to be replaced by Yangel Herrera.
  • 68' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Isi Palazon departs to be replaced by Gerard Gumbau.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Takefusa Kubo.
  • 75' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 76' What a strike from Mikel Oyarzabal! The score is 1-3.
  • 81' It’s high time Iñigo Pérez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 82 minute. Unai Lopez leaves to be changed by Fran Perez.
  • 84' Goal! Florian Lejeune scores his 17 goal in 339 matches.
  • 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Isi Palazon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Real Sociedad de Futbol player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' The Real Sociedad de Futbol manager makes a substitution. Sergio Gomez departs to be replaced by Aihen Munoz.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Real Sociedad de Fútbol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid47% Draw25% Real Sociedad de Fútbol28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
72%
Draw or Real Sociedad de Fútbol
53%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Sociedad de Fútbol
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid34% Draw42% Real Sociedad de Fútbol24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Real Sociedad de Fútbol covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
25%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.