Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Masuya Ueda
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2 Makoto Bozono (Japan)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Gamba Osaka | H | 16–15 | W |
| 18 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 5–6 | L |
| 15 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 49 | Scored | 25 |
| 59 | Conceded | 33 |
| -10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
14%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 3 G |
| Thiago Santana | 3 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Avispa Fukuoka have kicked off against V-Varen Nagasaki. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 1' The referee has no hesitation. Ikki Arai is booked for V-Varen Nagasaki — card on 1.
- 6' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 6 minutes.
- 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Yu Hashimoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' Hotaru Yamaguchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' A change in the V-Varen Nagasaki ranks — Takashi Sawada exits the field as Tsubasa Kasayanagi enters on 46.
- 51' Takashi Sawada is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
- 53' The referee has no hesitation. Ryosuke Shindo is booked for V-Varen Nagasaki — card on 53.
- 58' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' Magnificent from Tomoya Miki! That is 11 goals in 102 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 65' V-Varen Nagasaki make a change. Ryogo Yamasaki trudges off to be replaced by Thiago Santana on 65 minutes.
- 68' Time for substitution for V-Varen Nagasaki. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Norman Campbell.
- 73' Japan international Masaaki Goto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Shosei Usui departs to be replaced by Yutaka Michiwaki.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 84' Shintaro Nago needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 85' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Shintaro Nago is replaced by Kohei Okuno.
- 86' The whistle greets Yu Hashimoto as he departs to be replaced by Kaoru Yamawaki.
- 90' Takumi Kamijima gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Tatsuki Nara and will look to change the dynamic.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
-
3
Tatsuki Nara ↓ Takumi Kamijima 90'
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Kohei Okuno 85'
- 16
- 29
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuji Kitajima 74'
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Kaoru Yamawaki 86'
-
7
Shosei Usui ↓ Yutaka Michiwaki 74'
- 15
- 41
Bench
- 45
-
5
Takumi Kamijima ↑ 90'
-
8
Kohei Okuno ↑ 85'
- 22
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 74'
- 99
- 32
-
33
Kaoru Yamawaki ↑ 86'
-
27
Yutaka Michiwaki ↑ 74'
Coach
Shinya Tsukahara
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 10
- 50
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↓ Thiago Santana 65'
-
5
Hotaru Yamaguchi ↓ Diego Pituca 86'
-
29
Ikki Arai ↓ Hijiri Onaga 86'
- 1
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Norman Campbell 68'
- 6
- 41
Bench
- 4
-
22
Hijiri Onaga ↑ 86'
-
9
Thiago Santana ↑ 65'
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 86'
- 13
- 48
-
11
Norman Campbell ↑ 68'
- 34
-
33
Tsubasa Kasayanagi ↑ 46'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.52
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
69%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
52%
Avispa Fukuoka or V-Varen Nagasaki
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 17% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

