Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Masuya Ueda
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2 Makoto Bozono (Japan)
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 4.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Gamba Osaka | H | 16–15 | W |
| 18 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 5–6 | L |
| 15 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 49 | Scored | 25 |
| 59 | Conceded | 33 |
| -10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Best Denki Stadium!
- 1' V-Varen Nagasaki receives a card for a hard tackle on 1.
- 6' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 11' Avispa Fukuoka have won 223 goals from 211 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 21' Masato Shigemi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 26' Yuto Iwasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 381 appearances.
- 31' Shosei Usui has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past V-Varen Nagasaki's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shunya Yoneda made 199 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' Tsubasa Kasayanagi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takashi Sawada at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' Controversy at the stadium! Ryosuke Shindo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 58' Keiya Shiihashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 62' Tomoya Miki doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' The V-Varen Nagasaki bench stirs into life. Ryogo Yamasaki is withdrawn and Thiago Santana gets his opportunity.
- 68' It is a substitution in V-Varen Nagasaki team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Norman Campbell on 68 minute.
- 73' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 74' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Shosei Usui departs to be replaced by Yutaka Michiwaki.
- 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takuya Takagi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 84' The 34-year-old Ryogo Yamasaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Shintaro Nago departs to be replaced by Kohei Okuno.
- 86' The whistle greets Yu Hashimoto as he departs to be replaced by Kaoru Yamawaki.
- 90' The crowd applauds Tatsuki Nara as he leaves the pitch. Takumi Kamijima steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 1-0 the final result. V-Varen Nagasaki will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
-
3
Tatsuki Nara ↓ Takumi Kamijima 90'
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Kohei Okuno 85'
- 16
- 29
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuji Kitajima 74'
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Kaoru Yamawaki 86'
-
7
Shosei Usui ↓ Yutaka Michiwaki 74'
- 15
- 41
Bench
- 45
-
5
Takumi Kamijima ↑ 90'
-
8
Kohei Okuno ↑ 85'
- 22
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 74'
- 99
- 32
-
33
Kaoru Yamawaki ↑ 86'
-
27
Yutaka Michiwaki ↑ 74'
Coach
Shinya Tsukahara
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 10
- 50
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↓ Thiago Santana 65'
-
5
Hotaru Yamaguchi ↓ Diego Pituca 86'
-
29
Ikki Arai ↓ Hijiri Onaga 86'
- 1
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Norman Campbell 68'
- 6
- 41
Bench
- 4
-
22
Hijiri Onaga ↑ 86'
-
9
Thiago Santana ↑ 65'
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 86'
- 13
- 48
-
11
Norman Campbell ↑ 68'
- 34
-
33
Tsubasa Kasayanagi ↑ 46'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tomoya Miki | 1 |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 1 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.52
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
69%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
52%
Avispa Fukuoka or V-Varen Nagasaki
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 17% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.