Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshimi Yamashita
- Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Hatakeyama (Japan)
6 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 5–6 | L |
| 05 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 40 | Scored | 25 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| -2 | GD | -8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 44% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Shimizu S-Pulse to score. At the same time, V-Varen Nagasaki does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with V-Varen Nagasaki winning 50% of all matches.
- 8' Jelani Sumiyoshi is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
- 13' Shimizu S-Pulse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
- 21' Yudai Shimamoto puts Shimizu S-Pulse on the lead.
- 26' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' Riku Yamada was booked on 27.
- 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 33' GOAL! Thiago Santana scores on 33. Assisted by Ikki Arai
- 36' Hijiri Onaga is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Sensational shot from Motoki Hasegawa. V-Varen Nagasaki is back in the lead.
- 46' The whistle greets Kazuki Kozuka as he departs to be replaced by Sodai Hasukawa.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Time for substitution for V-Varen Nagasaki. Riku Yamada is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki.
- 63' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 63 minute. Masaki Yumiba leaves to be changed by Zento Uno.
- 68' V-Varen Nagasaki looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Thiago Santana scoring 1 goals.
- 70' The whistle greets Yudai Shimamoto as he departs to be replaced by Capixaba.
- 72' V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuto Iwasaki is hanging Thiago Santana on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masaki Yumiba made 367 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 82' It looks surprising Shimizu S-Pulse does not make any changes. Haruto Hidaka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 83' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Haruto Hidaka is replaced by Toshiki Takahashi on 83 minute.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Shimizu S-Pulse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Another change for V-Varen Nagasaki made on 90 minute. Shunya Yoneda leaves to be changed by Keita Takahata.
- With this win, V-Varen Nagasaki is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 28
-
81
Kazuki Kozuka ↓ Sodai Hasukawa 46'
- 16
- 10
- 25
- 51
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Capixaba 70'
- 9
-
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Zento Uno 63'
- 39
-
14
Seung-wook Park ↓ Yuki Honda 83'
Bench
-
7
Capixaba ↑ 70'
- 1
- 5
-
4
Sodai Hasukawa ↑ 46'
-
15
Yuki Honda ↑ 83'
-
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↑ 83'
-
6
Zento Uno ↑ 63'
- 97
- 33
Coach
Takayuki Yoshida
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
4
Eduardo ↓ Diego Pituca 61'
- 22
-
23
Shunya Yoneda ↓ Keita Takahata 90'
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 72'
- 5
- 29
- 1
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 61'
- 41
- 3
- 34
Bench
-
19
Takashi Sawada ↑ 90'
- 10
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 61'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 61'
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 72'
-
17
Keita Takahata ↑ 90'
- 11
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Musashi Suzuki | 3 |
| Yudai Shimamoto | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Hideki Ishige | 1 |
| Shota Kaneko | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Jong Tae Se | 1 |
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki 74% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
69%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
57%
Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

