Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 14,571 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yudai Shimamoto 21' 1–0
1–1 33' Thiago Santana
1–2 46' Motoki Hasegawa

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen NagasakiJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshimi Yamashita
  • Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Daisuke Hatakeyama (Japan)
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 1.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
01 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
22 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
05 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–3 L
21 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse V-Varen Nagasaki
#7 Position #9
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 25
42 Conceded 33
-2 GD -8
1.33 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse43% Draw26% V-Varen Nagasaki31%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
69%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
57%
Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse33% Draw43% V-Varen Nagasaki24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
25%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.