Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
01 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
22 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W
18 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 6–5 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
18 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Nagoya Grampus
#7 Position #3
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
40 Scored 46
42 Conceded 44
-2 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.11 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus40%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
60%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse30% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
11%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.